2022 Memorial Tournament Odds, Best Bets: Our Top 8 Picks, Including Max Homa, Viktor Hovland & More

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Among the annual stops on the PGA TOUR, few draw a better field than the Memorial Tournament.

Nine of the Official World Golf Rankings' top-12 players are at Muirfield Village this week for a tournament that usually sees the world's best golfers win. Over the last four years, Bryson DeChambeau, Patrick Cantlay (twice) and Jon Rahm (would be twice if not for a positive COVID test) have all won.

This is a Jack Nicklaus-designed course, which means it's not going to be easy, although Rahm was out to 18-under through three rounds last year before he was forced to withdraw. Although the RBC Canadian Open has a strong field next week, this will serve as the final tuneup for most players before the U.S. Open in Brookline, Mass., in two weeks.

With the theme of elite golfers winning in mind, our GolfBet staff has focused on the top of the odds board or players who have a strong history at Muirfield Village.

Check out our favorite picks for the week below.

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Matt Kuchar — Top 20 (+230)

Jason Sobel: It does feel a bit weird to be living in 2022 and admitting that a Matt Kuchar bet is my favorite play of the week, but I absolutely love this one – a conservative wager that’s just oozing with value.

Let’s first start with his recent form. It wasn’t that long ago when Kuchar went through an early-year stretch that included a T67 and three MCs in four starts. Since then, he’s turned things around, with six consecutive made cuts that includes a pair of top-three results and two other top-20s.

Then there’s his form on this course, which has always been a personal favorite. In 16 career starts, he has a win, seven top-10s and 10 top-20s. A few weeks shy of his 44th birthday, Kuchar is no longer anything close to the top-five player he once was, but he still owns plenty of game.

On a course that has served as his personal ATM over the years, this is a smart place to play him.

Joaquin Niemann +4500

Chris Murphy: We have seen a number of young players put their names toward the top of the Official World Golf Rankings by virtue of multiple wins this year, and I think we see another throw his name in the hat this week.

Joaquin Niemann has become an elite talent throughout his bag as he developed a short game this season that has him in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Around the Green. Adding this to his game makes him a player that can contend on any course and in any field. He showed that to be the case in February at the Genesis Invitational, when he pulled away to victory.

This week, Niemann will tee it up at a place that has been known to reward the elite ball striking he can bring to the table when he has his best. I’m giving the Chilean a pass for coming from the bad draw at the PGA Championship, where he lost 1.4 shots to the field on approach but still posted a T23 result. He has shown a propensity to bounce back from those down ball striking weeks and on a course where he has posted a top-six finish.

If he can peak with his game like he did at Tiger’s tournament, he’ll be in contention to add Jack’s to his trophy case, as well.

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Viktor Hovland +2500

Matt Vincenzi: In order to win at Muirfield Village, it’s a necessity to have a ceiling iron week. Viktor Hovland can be inconsistent and at times unpredictable, but throughout his career, he’s shown the capability to get scorching hot with his irons. Since the start of the 2021 season, the 24-year-old has gained more than 4.0 strokes on the field on approach in 11 of his 24 measured starts.

Despite having three PGA TOUR victories, Hovland is yet to have his “breakthrough” victory. His wins at the Puerto Rico Open and Mayakoba were severely lacking in field strength, and expectations are high for the Norwegian. Muirfield Village has served as a breakout spot for young stars in the past and would be by far the biggest win of Hovland’s career.

In his past 24 rounds, Hovland ranks second in Strokes Gained: Approach, third in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking and 12th in Good Drives Gained.
Hovland is one of the most talented players on TOUR and has seen many of golf’s other young stars steal the spotlight this season.

Hovland’s game around the green has impeded his development thus far, but it is a flaw that can be overcome by elite tee-to-green play. If his game is clicking this week, he has the right skill set to win at Muirfield Village.

Hovland’s best number is 25-1 at bet365. If that’s not available, be sure to get at least 20-1 if you can.

Patrick Reed +6500

Joshua Perry: It appears he's starting to figure things out again. He gained strokes in all categories for the first time since July 2021 at Colonial to finish seventh. He also gained a little over five strokes on approach at the PGA.

Reed's game has seemed off, but he's now made the cut in six of his last seven events, and with a top 10 result to go with it, he seems to be trending upward. He's also finished inside the top 10 on three occasions here including fifth a year ago.

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Patrick Reed — Top 10 (+500)

Landon Silinsky: Reed finally showed some signs of life last week, posting his first top-10 finish since the Hero back in December. It couldn’t have come at a better time either as now he comes to one of his favorite courses on TOUR in some good form. In six career starts at Muirfield Village, Reed has finished outside the top 30 just once, posting three top-10’s in the process.

At his best Reed can still tackle a tough course like few others and his premier bunker play will come in quite handy this week at a track littered with them. I’m very encouraged after last week and willing to play 5-1 that he posts his fourth top-10 at Jack’s place.

Cameron Smith — Miss the Cut (+350)

Rob Bolton: My last venture at this prop was for Brooks Koepka at the AT&T Byron Nelson, but he withdrew early and not long after I stated my case, so you never read about it. The moral of the matter is that I prefer the play over the opposite if for no other reason than the promise of applying emotion to the exercise. That begets experience.

I’ve had decent success in picking off MCs, too, including Jon Rahm (+700) at Silverado and Joaquin Niemann (+300) at PGA National. Both fades were associated with scheduling and focus at their respective times.

Smith isn’t that at all. Instead, Muirfield Village has his number, and I want to see Smitty 2022 wage battle against history. In six appearances, he’s sandwiched a pair of forgettable finishes — T65 (2017) and T68 (2020) — with four MCs. He’s broken par only once in 16 loops and crawls in with a scoring average of 74.38 on the par 72.

Say what you want about his learning curve, I get it, but that only supports my initiative. Is there any scar tissue?

Max Homa +4000

Derek Farnsworth: Homa checks all of the boxes for me this week. First off, he comes into the week in good form. He’s made eight straight cuts and has six top 20 finishes during that stretch. Many have talked about his lack of success at majors, but he put the critics to rest at the PGA Championship with a top 15 finish. He seems to love these big, classical golf courses, as he’s already racked up wins at Riviera and Quail Hollow.

Homa also fits the mold that I am looking for at Muirfield Village. He’s long and straight off the tee, he’s top 15 in this field on approach, and he’s top 10 in this field when it comes to hitting greens (over the last three months). I wouldn’t say he has the sharpest short game on tour, but he’s a positive putter and he’s gained strokes around the green in four of his last six events. He also posted his best finish at this event (T6) last year, so he should enter the week with a ton of confidence.

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Mito Pereira +5000

Bryan Berryman: Pereira showed a lot of resolve last week at Colonial, finishing seventh after what was a hugely disappointing finish at the PGA Championship. That marked back to back top-10 finishes for the Chilean, and the eighth time in his last nine starts that he has finished inside the top 30.

Over that stretch, Pereira has been a ball-striking machine. He ranks top 10 in this stacked field in both Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and Approach over the last 24 rounds, contributing to his eye popping 52.8 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green in his last nine events. He’s hit 64% of his fairways since he arrived on TOUR in July of last year, which will be a key factor to finding success this week given the thick Muirfield Village rough.

This is a course that has proven to be a ball striker’s paradise over its many years of hosting PGA TOUR events, and Pereira fits that mold. I love his chances of being in contention again down the stretch on Sunday, with a chance to exercise some demons.

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