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Updated 2022 PLAYERS Championship Odds & Picks: Jon Rahm, Jason Day Have Value Entering Weekend

Updated 2022 PLAYERS Championship Odds & Picks: Jon Rahm, Jason Day Have Value Entering Weekend article feature image
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Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images. Pictured: Jason Day

  • THE PLAYERS Championship was suspended on Friday with a handful of players still waiting to finish their first round.
  • There's a three-way tie atop the leaderboard with Tommy Fleetwood, Tom Hoge and Brice Garnett, who has only played 13 holes.
  • Check out Chris Murphy's picks from Thursday night of THE PLAYERS at TPC Sawgrass.
Click arrow to expand 2022 PLAYERS Championship odds via PointsBet

2022 PLAYERS Championship Odds

Golfer Odds
Scottie Scheffler +1000
Daniel Berger +1200
Jon Rahm +1200
Dustin Johnson +1600
Xander Schauffele +1600
Joaquin Niemann +1800
Brooks Koepka +2000
Justin Thomas +2000
Tommy Fleetwood +2000
Tom Hoge +2200
Sam Burns +3000
Cameron Smith +3300
Collin Morikawa +3300
Keith Mitchell +3300
Abraham Ancer +3500
Jason Day +4000
Louis Oosthuizen +4000
Viktor Hovland +4000
Billy Horschel +5000
Brian Harman +5000
Jordan Spieth +5000
Patton Kizzire +5000
Russell Henley +5000
Thomas Pieters +5000
Will Zalatoris +5000
Brice Garnett +6000
Kevin Kisner +6000
Cameron Young +6600
Max Homa +6600
Rory McIlroy +6600
Si Woo Kim +6600
Tyrrell Hatton +6600
Michael Thompson +6600
Justin Rose +7500
Alexander Noren +8000
Chris Kirk +8000
Corey Conners +8000
Patrick Cantlay +8000
Jason Kokrak +10000
Jhonattan Vegas +10000
Kramer Hickok +10000
Marc Leishman +10000
Matthew Fitzpatrick +10000
Talor Gooch +10000
Doug Ghim +11000
Lucas Herbert +11000
Anirban Lahiri +12500
Harold Varner III +12500
Paul Casey +12500
Taylor Pendrith +12500
Andrew D. Putnam +15000
Cameron Davis +15000
Chesson Hadley +15000
Denny McCarthy +15000
Emiliano Grillo +15000
Im Sung-jae +15000
Maverick McNealy +15000
Sam Ryder +15000
Sepp Straka +15000
Sergio Garcia +15000
Cheng-Tsung Pan +17500
Adam Hadwin +20000
Brendan Steele +20000
Gary Woodland +20000
Matt Kuchar +20000
Sebastian Munoz +20000
Beau Hossler +25000
Bubba Watson +25000
Carlos Ortiz +25000
Danny Lee +25000
Joel Dahmen +25000
Keegan Bradley +25000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +25000
Lanto Griffin +25000
Lee Westwood +25000
Mito Guillermo Pereira +25000
Seamus Power +25000
Aaron Wise +30000
Adam Long +30000
Branden Grace +30000
Brendon Todd +30000
Cameron Tringale +30000
Francesco Molinari +30000
Jimmy Walker +30000
Mackenzie Hughes +30000
Peter Malnati +30000
Shane Lowry +30000
Troy Merritt +30000
Taylor Moore +30000
Brian Stuard +40000
Charl Schwartzel +40000
Doc Redman +40000
Erik Van Rooyen +40000
Henrik Stenson +40000
Hudson Swafford +40000
Ian Poulter +40000
Lucas Glover +40000
Matt Wallace +40000
Matthew NeSmith +40000
Matthew Wolff +40000
Pat Perez +40000
Patrick Reed +40000
Russell Knox +40000
Ryan Brehm +40000
Stewart Cink +40000
Zach Johnson +40000
Patrick Rodgers +40000
Brandt Snedeker +50000
Chez Reavie +50000
Hank Lebioda +50000
Harry Higgs +50000
Hayden Buckley +50000
James Hahn +50000
Kevin Streelman +50000
Lee Hodges +50000
Martin Laird +50000
Robert Streb +50000
Ryan Palmer +50000
Scott Stallings +50000
Tyler McCumber +50000
Webb Simpson +50000
Martin Laird +50000
Sam Ryder +50000
Scott Stallings +50000
Stephan Jaeger +50000
Bet THE PLAYERS at PointsBet and get $250 FREE.

Unfortunately, the main story on Thursday at TPC Sawgrass was the weather, as a rain delay stopped play for just over four hours in the opening round after an hour delay to start the day. Players were immediately delayed before a shot was hit in the first round and when they finally took the course, a longer delay was in store. They got back on the course to play at 3:15 p.m. local time, which allowed all but one group of the morning wave to get their entire round in on Thursday.

The afternoon wave became the evening wave as two sets of tee times didn’t even get to hit a shot. The first two rounds will not be completed by Friday and will lag into Saturday, with the only real question being about how much of the round will need to be finished on the weekend. It will also bring into play and seems fairly likely we could be in store for a Monday finish as the weather Friday doesn’t look good either.

While the weather put a damper on the day overall, when the players did get some golf in there was some soft, scoreable conditions. Tommy Fleetwood and Tom Hoge took the most advantage as they both posted 6-under 66s to close the day with the lead. Four players, led by Joaquin Niemann and Keith Mitchell, shot 5-under opening rounds. The “morning wave” averaged nearly a full stroke under par on the day, and several of the big names with late tee times got off to hot starts before darkness stopped them.

Since we don’t have much to lean on from a Strokes Gained perspective, I will just focus on some live best bets going into Friday. The big unknown is certainly the weather all the way into Saturday, which then has high winds, so we just want to try to find some opportunities to find an edge to as they close out the first round.

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Editor’s note: Pick write-ups as of Thursday night.

Jon Rahm +1400

Throwing some of the weather scenarios out the window, it’s a bit of a shock to see Jon Rahm at a price higher than where he closed before teeing off on Thursday. I honestly don’t know what to make of that unless the books just see such a weather disadvantage for this first group that they’re willing to essentially throw them aside in favor of the other wave.

If you think that is the case, you could certainly wait to see things play out, as no matter what happens there is going to be nearly 36 holes of golf from the big names on the course before he hits another shot. We could see his odds drift further or if there are struggles, it could also shrink his odds.

Rahm wasn’t his normal ball striking self in the opening round, as he lost 0.84 shots to the field on approach at this stage in the game. He also continued to struggle around the greens, which has been an under-covered aspect of his issues lately. The good side of his day is that despite those struggles he still shot 3-under, currently three shots back, and he also gained more than two shots with the putter.

It’s great to see a good day finally on the greens for the Spaniard and I feel really comfortable that the irons will bounce back in a hurry whenever he tees it up again. Rahm has been better at this event than his results indicate, and he’s right there once again despite some lackluster play on approach.

Bet Rahm at PointsBet and get $250 FREE.

Jason Day +4000

One player I wanted to add to my card to start the week — but just never quite pulled the trigger on — was Jason Day. He is coming into the week with a heavy heart after losing his mom last week, which led to his withdrawal from the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

While it is just a few holes of a sample, he seems to have brought his game with him to TPC Sawgrass as he is 2-under through his first four holes. This is a course where he has won before back in 2016. He knows this course and really is a great fit for it, especially if he brought the strong iron play that he showed back at the Farmers in January.

Day’s odds have dropped quite a bit from open, but he’s still viable in this range for what could turn into the story of the week if he can contend.

Bet Day at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

Cameron Young — First Round Leader +7500 (DraftKings)

The first group off in the second wave included one of the stories of the early part of 2022 in Cameron Young. He, Russell Henley and Thomas Pieters all made it through six holes before the horn blew due to darkness and they are all 2-under on their rounds.

I think you could look to any of them for a potential First Round Leader bet as they will have the least amount of golf to play in what could be a day with some starting and stopping on Friday. I’ll lean toward Young in part because of the great form and scoring ability he has shown lately, but also due to the potential odds value.

Young is listed on DraftKings at +7500 while Henley is better than half of that at +2000. I don’t think there is a ton of merit to that gap in pricing and I do like that this group has gotten through the majority of a stretch of holes that played just over par on Thursday. They will need to navigate the difficult 7th, but then roll into a scoring stretch of holes 9-12 where they can quickly get some momentum to challenge the 6-under rounds posted by Fleetwood and Hoge.

Several other books have Young in the +2000 range to be First Round Leader, which really solidifies the value we are getting on the former Wake Forrest player to close out his first round strong.

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