2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds, Picks, Predictions: Cameron Young, 5 More Bets for Detroit Golf Club
Harry How/Getty Images. Pictured: Cameron Young.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic odds via BetMGM
2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds
|Si Woo Kim||+6600|
|Bo Van Pelt||+50000|
|Dawie van der Walt||+50000|
|Davis Love III||+100000|
|Wyatt Worthington II||+100000|
For the fourth consecutive year, the PGA TOUR heads to Detroit Golf Club to play the Rocket Mortgage Classic.
A Donald Ross design, Detroit Golf Club features a 7,370-yard par 72 layout. The course is extremely flat throughout and has Bentgrass greens. The front and back nines present quite differently, with the front being tree-lined and the back having a wide-open setup.
The event will likely be a low-scoring affair considering the course has offered very little in terms of resistance in the first three editions of the tournament.
The Rocket Mortgage Classic is scheduled to play host to 156 entrants, including Patrick Cantlay, Cameron Young, Max Homa, Will Zalatoris, Tony Finau, Sahith Theegala and Keegan Bradley.
Past Winners at Rocket Mortgage Classic
- 2021: Cameron Davis (-18)
- 2020: Bryson DeChambeau (-23)
- 2019: Nate Lashley (-25)
5 Key Stats For Detroit Golf Club
Let's take a look at five key metrics for Detroit Golf Club to determine which golfers boast top marks in each category over their last 24 rounds.
1. Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
Most of the holes on the back nine at Detroit Golf Club are wide open, which really favors the big hitters. Players who fit that mold like Bryson DeChambeau, Matthew Wolff, Joaquin Niemann and Cameron Davis have had plenty of success at the course.
SG: OTT Over Past 24 Rounds
- Cameron Young (+24.0) (+700)
- Brendan Steele (+23.9) (+12500)
- Will Zalatoris (+19.5) (+8000)
- Tony Finau (+19.2) (+4000)
- Luke List (+17.7) (+14000)
2. Strokes Gained: Approach
Using approach in our statistics will be a good indicator of current form, as it almost always is. At a course where most golfers will be playing from the fairway, proximity to the hole will be the separator.
Strokes Gained: Approach Over Past 24 Rounds
- Scott Stallings (+24.3) (+6000)
- Mark Hubbard (+22.8) (+1400)
- Brendan Steele (+21.2) (+4000)
- Russell Henley (+20.8) (+2200)
- Max Homa (+18.6) (+9000)
3. Strokes Gained: Par 5
With four par 5s on the course that average under par, taking advantage of these easy holes will be a requirement to contend.
SG: Par 5 Past 24 rounds:
- Sahith Theegala (+17.3) (+2500)
- Patrick Cantlay (+14.3) (+4000)
- Max Homa (+13.7) (+30000)
- Cameron Percy (+12.2) (+6600)
- Kevin Kisner (+11.0) (+2800)
4. Birdie or Better
The Rocket Mortgage Classic will most certainly be a "birdie-fest" this year. Two of the three events here have eclipsed -20 and last year it got close, but a windy conditions in the third round kept it just below. It will take birdies (and potentiall, a few eagles) in bunches to win triumph.
Birdie or Better: Gained Over Past 24 Rounds
- Cameron Young (+25.4) (+2500)
- Will Zalatoris (+23.2) (+4000)
- Patrick Cantlay (+21.5) (+6000)
- Adam Svensson (+18.8) (+12500)
- Stewart Cink (+18.3) (+6600)
5. Strokes Gained: Total Donald Ross Designs
Detroit Golf Club is a Donald Ross design. Many golfers who play Ross designs well do so on a regular basis.
SG: Donald Ross Over Past 24 Rounds
- Jason Day (+32.4) (+1800)
- Kevin Kisner (+30.9) (+17500)
- Rory Sabbatini (+30.7 (+4000)
- Ryan Armour (+30.4) (+12500)
- Chris Kirk (+27.2) (+16000)
The Rocket Mortgage Classic Model Rankings
Below, I've compiled overall model rankings using a combination of the six key statistical categories previously discussed — SG: OTT (25%), SG: Approach (22%), Birdie or Better (20%), SG: Par 5 (16.9%), and SG: Donald Ross (17.2%).
- Will Zalatoris (+2500)
- Tony Finau (+1400)
- Cameron Davis (+2800)
- Davis Riley (+700)
- Max Homa (+1800)
- Cameron Young (+5000)
- Webb Simpson (+4000)
- Brendan Steele (+4000)
- Adam Svensson (+3500)
- Chris Kirk (+9000)
2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic Outright Bets
Cameron Young (+2000, DraftKings):
Cameron Young's enormous talent was on display at the 150th Open Championship a few weeks ago. His second-place finish at St. Andrews was his second top-3 finish at a major championship this season, which is impressive for a PGA TOUR rookie.
After taking off the week after the Open Championship, Young heads to Detroit Golf Club, which is a course he should be able to pick apart with his power off the tee. In his past 24 rounds, the 25-year-old ranks first in the field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and first in the field in Birdie or Better Gained. With the course likely to be play fairly easy, Young's ability to make plenty of birdies and eagles will give him a major advantage.
Over the course of his career, Young has gained 17.3 strokes on the field per tournament with his driving distance. Detroit Golf Club has fell victim to the power of golfers like Bryson DeChambeau, Matthew Wolff, Joaquin Niemann and Cameron Davis, all of which hit it a long way with the driver.
Driving ability will be of great importance this week, but it isn't the only factor. To win, Young will need to get hot with the putter as well. If he can gain another four strokes putting like he did at The Open Championship, he should be the golfer to beat in Detroit.
Sahith Theegala (+5000, DraftKings):
Last week was a bit of a disappointment for Sahith Theegala, but I don't see any reason why he can't bounce back to perform well at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. With the field being only slightly better than what we saw last week, Theegala being roughly double the odds is a massive "missed-cut discount" that I feel should be taken advantage of here.
I believe in Theegala's overall talent and that he can still get his first PGA TOUR win before the season concludes. With the remaining chances dwindling and few course fits as glaring at Detroit Golf Club left on the schedule, now might be the 24-year-old’s last real opportunity.
The former Haskins Award winner hits the ball long off the tee and has a similar skill set to those who've fared well at Detroit Golf Club in the past. The fact he's now had two near misses to build the sometimes-necessary scar tissue to win on TOUR should only aid him in his efforts..
Cameron Champ (+7500, DraftKings):
Cameron Champ has been underwhelming for most of the season. He only has two top-10 finishes, with his best result being a six-place effort at the Mexico Open.
The 2021 season wasn't much better leading into this time last year. At that point, his best showing had been an 11th-place finish at the John Deere Classic. He then went on to win the 3M Championship the following week.
Champ plays poorly far more often than he plays well, but when he wins, he tends to hint that it's coming. Last week, we saw glimpses of what the 27-year-old is capable of when he gets hot. After getting off to a horrific start, he rallied to make the cut and gained 2.9 strokes off the tee and 6.3 strokes putting in his final three rounds after losing more than a shot in each of the two categories in Thursday's first round.
Finishing in a share of 16th place after opening his tournament with a disastrous round of 75 is impressive and might be a sign of things to come.
It's no secret Champ is one of the game’s longest hitters, but he also has positive "spike" putting weeks from time to time. He gained 8.6 strokes with the putter in his win at last year's 3M Open, which shows when his putting stroke is locked in, he can roll it with the best on TOUR.
Troy Merritt (+8000, BetRivers):
Troy Merritt was agonizingly close to getting a victory at Detroit Golf Club last year, losing to Cameron Davis on the fifth playoff hole. He also had a great performance at the course in 2020, when he finished in eighth place.
Long hitters have done well at Detroit Golf Club, but putting has been almost equally as important for those who've contended here. In his past two starts at this course, Merritt has gained 5.3 and 7.2 strokes putting respectively. There's clearly something about these greens the 36-year-old has figured out.
Last week at the 3M Open, Merritt did just about everything right besides putt well, which is extremely uncharacteristic. The perplexing performance on the greens (-5.6 SG: Putting) marked the first time in his past eight measured starts where he's lost strokes putting. Therefore, it's more likely than not the dismal putting effort was an outlier.
In terms of off the tee and approach play, Merritt had one of his best performances ever at TPC Twin Cities. His 8.5 Strokes Gained: Ball Striking marks his highest total since his victory at the 2018 Barbasol Championship. If his putting stroke can return to its baseline, Merritt should find himself in contention again in Detroit.
Taylor Pendrith (+8100, bet365):
Another golfer who fits the mold of long hitters who can get hot with the putter is Taylor Pendrith. The Canadian seemed poised to have a breakout season in 2022 before injuries derailed his momentum following a 13th-place finish at the PLAYERS Championship.
Pendrith finally returned to action at the Barbasol Championship a few weeks ago and did not disappoint. The 31-year-old finished in 13th place and gained 5.1 strokes off the tee.
Thus far, Pendrith's potential has yet to come to fruition, but he has all the talent necessary to be a "late bloomer" on the PGA TOUR.
He is one of the longest drivers on the golf ball on the planet and has historically putt very well on Bentgrass greens. Missing the fairway isn't extremely penal here, so if he can get his wedges dialed in, he should be able to take advantage of the easier setup we've seen at the course.
Michael Thorbjornsen (+12500, BetRivers):
There's no denying this price feels a bit short for a golfer who hasn't turned professional yet, but I don't see Michael Thorbjornsen as a typical amateur.
The 20-year-old All-American has proven himself to be one of the top world’s amateurs and, in my opinion, a future superstar. The Wellesley, Mass., product has all the tools to be successful and should make him a strong fit at Detroit Golf Club.
The last time we saw "Thor" he was deep in contention at the Travelers Championship. The two skills that I am targeting here are off the tee and putting, and he did both immaculately at TPC River Highlands. Thorbjornsen gained 4.6 strokes off the tee, which was good for a tie for fifth in the field. He also gained 9.6 strokes putting, which led the field.
Thorbjornsen's fourth-place finish at the Travelers Championship was the best finish in a PGA TOUR event by an amateur since 2016. This week, the young star will look to top that by becoming the first amateur to win a PGA TOUR event since Phil Mickelson in 1991.