Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Picks: Target Rory McIlroy, 2 Others at TPC Potomac

Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Picks: Target Rory McIlroy, 2 Others at TPC Potomac article feature image

Gregory Shamus/Getty Images. Pictured: Rory McIlroy.

  • Rory McIlroy is the heavy favorite this week at the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship.
  • Jon Rahm won as the clear top player in the field at the Mexico Open, which McIlroy will be out to replicate.
  • Chris Murphy breaks down why he likes McIlroy and two other golfers this week at TPC Potomac.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Wells Fargo Championship odds via PointsBet

2022 Wells Fargo Championship Odds

Rory McIlroy+700
Corey Conners+1700
Matthew Fitzpatrick+2000
Tony Finau+2200
Tyrrell Hatton+2800
Abraham Ancer+3000
Gary Woodland+3300
Keegan Bradley+3300
Marc Leishman+3300
Patrick Reed+3300
Paul Casey+3300
Russell Henley+3300
Cameron Young+4000
Max Homa+4000
Seamus Power+4000
Sergio Garcia+4000
Si Woo Kim+4000
Webb Simpson+4000
Jason Day+5000
Jhonattan Vegas+5000
Matt Kuchar+5000
Aaron Rai+6000
Brian Harman+6000
Doug Ghim+6000
Keith Mitchell+6000
Kevin Streelman+6000
Matt Jones+6000
Matthew NeSmith+6000
Sepp Straka+6000
Brendan Steele+6600
Joel Dahmen+6600
Anirban Lahiri+7000
Cheng-Tsung Pan+7000
Dylan Frittelli+7000
Troy Merritt+7000
Adam Long+8000
Alex Smalley+8000
Brandon Wu+8000
David Lipsky+8000
Francesco Molinari+8000
Lanto Griffin+8000
Rickie Fowler+8000
Cameron Davis+9000
Denny McCarthy+9000
Kurt Kitayama+9000
Luke List+9000
Mark Hubbard+9000
Martin Laird+9000
Matthias Schwab+9000
Nate Lashley+9000
Russell Knox+9000
Taylor Moore+9000
Adam Svensson+10000
Beau Hossler+10000
Doc Redman+10000
Greyson Sigg+10000
JT Poston+10000
Lucas Glover+10000
Matthew Wolff+10000
Stewart Cink+10000
Branden Grace+12500
Brian Stuard+12500
Chad Ramey+12500
Nick Taylor+12500
Pat Perez+12500
Ryan Armour+12500
Scott Piercy+12500
Stephan Jaeger+12500
Sung Kang+12500
Tyler Duncan+12500
Adam Schenk+15000
Andrew D. Putnam+15000
Andrew Novak+15000
Austin Smotherman+15000
Charl Schwartzel+15000
Chez Reavie+15000
Danny Lee+15000
Hank Lebioda+15000
Harry Higgs+15000
Joseph Bramlett+15000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat+15000
Kramer Hickok+15000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+15000
Lee Hodges+15000
Mackenzie Hughes+15000
Peter Malnati+15000
Rory Sabbatini+15000
Sam Ryder+15000
Zach Johnson+15000
Ben Martin+20000
Brice Garnett+20000
Cameron Percy+20000
Charley Hoffman+20000
Chase Seiffert+20000
Dylan Wu+20000
Hayden Buckley+20000
James Hahn+20000
John Huh+20000
Jonathan Byrd+20000
Matt Wallace+20000
Michael Thompson+20000
Peter Uihlein+20000
Trey Mullinax+20000
Vincent Whaley+20000
Ben Kohles+25000
Bill Haas+25000
Bo Hoag+25000
Brandon Hagy+25000
Bryson Nimmer+25000
Callum Tarren+25000
Justin Lower+25000
Kevin Chappell+25000
Kevin Tway+25000
Luke Donald+25000
Roger Sloan+25000
Satoshi Kodaira+25000
Wesley Bryan+25000
Curtis Thompson+30000
Henrik Norlander+30000
Scott Gutschewski+30000
Turk Pettit+30000
Camilo Villegas+35000
Chesson Hadley+35000
Jim Herman+35000
Kelly Kraft+35000
Nick Watney+35000
Paul Barjon+35000
Richy Werenski+35000
Ryan Blaum+35000
Vaughn Taylor+35000
David Skinns+40000
Jared Wolfe+40000
Martin Trainer+40000
Max McGreevy+40000
Michael Gligic+40000
Seth Reeves+40000
Seung-yul Noh+40000
Austin Cook+50000
Bo Van Pelt+50000
Brandon Matthews+50000
Brett Drewitt+50000
Dawie Van Der Walt+50000
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra+50000
Gregory Odom+50000
Jim Knous+50000
Johnson Wagner+50000
Jonas Blixt+50000
Joshua Creel+50000
Larkin Gross+50000
Morgan Hoffmann+50000
William McGirt+50000
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Jon Rahm was a short favorite for the Mexico Open, and he lived up to those numbers as he led the tournament at the end of each round, including after his 72nd hole on Sunday. It marked the first win since the 2021 U.S. Open for the World No. 2 and will leave a good taste in his mouth for his next start, which will be at the PGA Championship.

This week is the Wells Fargo Championship, but it is not in its normal location because Quail Hollow is preparing to host the Presidents Cup. The TOUR will head north instead to TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm, which last hosted in 2018 for the Quicken Loans National. It'll make for another wrinkle in our betting breakdown this week as we try again to figure out a new track, and unfortunately, it'll come with another weak field.

Similar to Rahm in Mexico, Rory McIlroy is the lone top-10 player set to tee it up this week. He does so partially out of obligation as the defending champion from last year's Wells Fargo at Quail Hollow.

McIlroy won't be at odds as short as Rahm was pre-tournament last week, but I would expect him to have a single-digit number by his name on Monday morning, with possibly with a sizable gap between him and the next player on the board.

It'll be interesting to see where everyone else falls, and that will help drive my buys going into the week.

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Best Buys

Rory McIlroy

This will be entirely contingent on the number, and I may not actually get there on it at the start, but I have to highlight the guy we last saw holing out from the greenside bunker at Augusta National. I think he is poised to carry that momentum into the rest of this season and could start to return to form as the player who was the best in the world for much of the early part of his career.

McIlroy's game also seems to set up really well for what is important around TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm. This is a course with seven par 4s of over 450 yards, and it sets up with narrow landing areas, requiring both distance and accuracy off the tee.

When McIlroy is at his best, the driver is the biggest weapon in his bag. This is looking like a week when he can use that advantage over the rest of the field.

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Keegan Bradley

I'll stick with the long and accurate off the tee theme with Keegan Bradley, who will be one of the first names I'll be looking for on Monday morning. He has always been one of the best ball-strikers on TOUR and has often been held back by a balky putter.

This week should present a course that will highlight Bradley's ball striking ability. With names like Kyle Stanley at the top of the leaderboard the last time this course hosted an event, we can assume that Bradley may be able to get away with less than stellar putting.

Bradley has been in strong form this year with four top-12 finishes, including two inside the top 10. His last appearance was an eighth-place finish at the Valero, where he gained better than four shots on approach for the week.

Bradley should be a great fit for this track and may be mixed up enough with a number of mid-tier names for us to get some good opening odds.

Sergio Garcia

Poor putting ball-strikers appear to be my trend this week. Just for the record, Max Homa fits this mix too. I think he may be in the upper tier to make it a little more difficult to buy, so I'll dip down to Sergio Garcia instead.

The Masters was the first top-25 finish of the season for Sergio, who has surprisingly struggled on approach in 2022. He's been better with the flat stick this year than he has been with his irons, but his week at Augusta National may have things heading back in the right direction with his ball-striking.

I'll be looking to take that shot if the numbers align on Monday. He too is a long and accurate player off the tee who sets up well for TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm.

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