Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Picks: Target Rory McIlroy, 2 Others at TPC Potomac

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Jon Rahm was a short favorite for the Mexico Open, and he lived up to those numbers as he led the tournament at the end of each round, including after his 72nd hole on Sunday. It marked the first win since the 2021 U.S. Open for the World No. 2 and will leave a good taste in his mouth for his next start, which will be at the PGA Championship.

This week is the Wells Fargo Championship, but it is not in its normal location because Quail Hollow is preparing to host the Presidents Cup. The TOUR will head north instead to TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm, which last hosted in 2018 for the Quicken Loans National. It'll make for another wrinkle in our betting breakdown this week as we try again to figure out a new track, and unfortunately, it'll come with another weak field.

Similar to Rahm in Mexico, Rory McIlroy is the lone top-10 player set to tee it up this week. He does so partially out of obligation as the defending champion from last year's Wells Fargo at Quail Hollow.

McIlroy won't be at odds as short as Rahm was pre-tournament last week, but I would expect him to have a single-digit number by his name on Monday morning, with possibly with a sizable gap between him and the next player on the board.

It'll be interesting to see where everyone else falls, and that will help drive my buys going into the week.

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Best Buys

Rory McIlroy

This will be entirely contingent on the number, and I may not actually get there on it at the start, but I have to highlight the guy we last saw holing out from the greenside bunker at Augusta National. I think he is poised to carry that momentum into the rest of this season and could start to return to form as the player who was the best in the world for much of the early part of his career.

McIlroy's game also seems to set up really well for what is important around TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm. This is a course with seven par 4s of over 450 yards, and it sets up with narrow landing areas, requiring both distance and accuracy off the tee.

When McIlroy is at his best, the driver is the biggest weapon in his bag. This is looking like a week when he can use that advantage over the rest of the field.

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Keegan Bradley

I'll stick with the long and accurate off the tee theme with Keegan Bradley, who will be one of the first names I'll be looking for on Monday morning. He has always been one of the best ball-strikers on TOUR and has often been held back by a balky putter.

This week should present a course that will highlight Bradley's ball striking ability. With names like Kyle Stanley at the top of the leaderboard the last time this course hosted an event, we can assume that Bradley may be able to get away with less than stellar putting.

Bradley has been in strong form this year with four top-12 finishes, including two inside the top 10. His last appearance was an eighth-place finish at the Valero, where he gained better than four shots on approach for the week.

Bradley should be a great fit for this track and may be mixed up enough with a number of mid-tier names for us to get some good opening odds.

Sergio Garcia

Poor putting ball-strikers appear to be my trend this week. Just for the record, Max Homa fits this mix too. I think he may be in the upper tier to make it a little more difficult to buy, so I'll dip down to Sergio Garcia instead.

The Masters was the first top-25 finish of the season for Sergio, who has surprisingly struggled on approach in 2022. He's been better with the flat stick this year than he has been with his irons, but his week at Augusta National may have things heading back in the right direction with his ball-striking.

I'll be looking to take that shot if the numbers align on Monday. He too is a long and accurate player off the tee who sets up well for TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm.

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