2023 Genesis Invitational Picks, Updated Odds: Justin Thomas, Sam Burns Trending Upward

2023 Genesis Invitational Picks, Updated Odds: Justin Thomas, Sam Burns Trending Upward article feature image

Steph Chambers/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Thomas.

Click arrow to expand the Genesis Invitational odds via PointsBet
Player NameOdds
Jon Rahm+750
Rory McIlroy+850
Scottie Scheffler+1000
Tony Finau+1600
Justin Thomas+1600
Xander Schauffele+1600
Max Homa+2000
Collin Morikawa+2000
Patrick Cantlay+2200
Viktor Hovland+2800
Cameron Young+3000
Sungjae Im+3000
Jordan Spieth+3500
Sam Burns+3500
Will Zalatoris+4000
Matt Fitzpatrick+4000
Jason Day+4500
Tom Kim+4500
Hideki Matsuyama+5000
Tyrrell Hatton+5000
Keegan Bradley+6000
Rickie Fowler+6000
Adam Scott+6000
Taylor Montgomery+6600
Sahith Theegala+6600
Justin Rose+7500
Russell Henley+8000
Tommy Fleetwood+9000
Alex Noren+9000
Keith Mitchell+9000
Corey Conners+9000
Seamus Power+9000
Brian Harman+9000
Wyndham Clark+9000
Si Woo Kim+10000
Shane Lowry+10000
K.H. Lee+11000
Adam Hadwin+11000
Taylor Moore+12500
Tom Hoge+12500
Patrick Rodgers+12500
Tiger Woods+12500
J.T. Poston+12500
Lucas Herbert+12500
Beau Hossler+15000
Billy Horschel+15000
Kurt Kitayama+15000
Scott Stallings+15000
Thomas Detry+15000
Luke List+15000
Nick Taylor+15000
Denny McCarthy+17500
Alex Smalley+17500
Adrian Meronk+17500
Cam Davis+17500
Gary Woodland+17500
Jhonattan Vegas+17500
Matt Kuchar+20000
J.J. Spaun+20000
Hayden Buckley+20000
Joel Dahmen+20000
Sam Ryder+20000
Stephan Jaeger+25000
Brendon Todd+25000
Andrew Putnam+25000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+25000
Emiliano Grillo+25000
Dylan Frittelli+30000
Trey Mullinax+30000
Nick Hardy+30000
Harris English+30000
James Hahn+30000
S.H. Kim+30000
Mackenzie Hughes+30000
Sepp Straka+30000
Francesco Molinari+30000
David Lipsky+35000
Callum Tarren+35000
Aaron Rai+35000
Brandon Wu+35000
Davis Thompson+35000
Matthew NeSmith+35000
Justin Suh+35000
Patton Kizzire+40000
Lanto Griffin+40000
Kevin Kisner+40000
Peter Malnati+40000
Martin Laird+40000
Greyson Sigg+40000
Ben Taylor+40000
Russell Knox+40000
Matt Wallace+40000
Cameron Champ+40000
Mark Hubbard+40000
Danny Willett+40000
Stewart Cink+40000
Danny Lee+40000
Justin Lower+40000
Lee Hodges+40000
Adam Svensson+40000
Chez Reavie+50000
Keita Nakajima+50000
Troy Merritt+50000
Kevin Streelman+50000
Nate Lashley+50000
Kevin Tway+50000
Scott Piercy+50000
Adam Schenk+50000
Doug Ghim+60000
Chesson Hadley+60000
Adam Long+60000
Luke Donald+60000
Lucas Glover+60000
Michael Thompson+60000
Yeongsu Kim+70000
Doc Redman+70000
Matthias Schwab+70000
J.B. Holmes+70000
Jack Wall+75000
Ryan Brehm+100000
Nick Watney+100000
Marcus Byrd+100000
Kramer Hickok+100000
Robert Streb+100000
Tyler Duncan+100000
Kelly Kraft+100000
Austin Smotherman+100000
Chad Ramey+100000
Max McGreevy+100000

Scottie Scheffler put on a show this week at the Waste Management Phoenix Open as he outlasted Jon Rahm and Nick Taylor en route to defending his 2021 championship at TPC Scottsdale. Scheffler took over the top spot in the world golf rankings with that effort, but will have to continue to perform at a high level to hold that title.

The Tour heads back to California this week for the Genesis Invitational, which is hosted by Tiger Woods. His presence is always an attraction during this tournament, but it'll be extra special this time as he joins the field for this elevated event. It'll be the first time we have seen Woods in an individual event since The Open at St. Andrews. I don't expect much from his play on the course — especially on a course where he struggled even during his best years — but man, it will be great to see him back.

This week I'll be dialing in on all of the elite ball strikers as this is a course that requires precision from tee to green, but most importantly, off the tee and on approach. Its unique features also favor players who have been around the track a time or two and that course history will also drive the first clicks to my betting card when odds open Monday.

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Genesis Invitational Picks

Justin Thomas

There aren't many elite players on TOUR who are as streaky as Justin Thomas. Most of the top end players in the world rankings are there because of their week-over-week consistency.

Meanwhile, Thomas will string together stretches of elite work and then have lulls of inconsistency. He seems to have dug himself out of one of those lulls over the weekend at TPC Scottsdale where he posted 67-65 to climb into a solo fourth-place finish.

Now, he will head out to Riviera where he has three top-10 finishes in his past five trips, highlight his upside, especially in his 2019 runner-up result. I see his game trending up into this week and even though I don't anticipate him to be at long odds, he will be one of my top targets Monday.

Monday odds update: Thomas' best number is +1800 at bet365. He's 16-1 at BetMGM and 15-1 at FanDuel.

Sam Burns

Speaking of players who made a move over the weekend in Scottsdale, Sam Burns certainly fits that bill. He put together the round of the day on Saturday with a bogey-free 64 where he gained more than four strokes on the field with his ball striking. His irons cooled off Sunday, but he continued to drive it well and the driver is usually his trouble club.

Burns raced out to a 54-hole lead two years ago at this tournament and really made a name for himself on TOUR at that time, even as he fell back to finish third. Now, he's a multi-time winner at this level, but hasn't gotten the most respect in the odds markets. He opened at +5500 in a similar field last week and if I see anything near those numbers at open, I'll be ready to jump on Burns at the Genesis.

Monday odds update: Burns is +3000 at FanDuel and bet365.

Alex Noren

Many people got burned by Alex Noren this past week as he missed the cut by one shot after a tough opening round put him behind the eight ball. His 2-under round on Friday was solid and I try not to discount players too much for one missed cut.

Noren gained more than two shots on the field on approach in Round 2, which ranked him eighth in the field for the day. The missed cut was also his first poor result in quite some time as he had been on a stretch of three consecutive top-five finishes, two on the DP World TOUR and one from the fall at the Houston Open. He was once a top-15 player in the world and over the past 12 months he has really started to show that talent again.

This is a week where I will be looking to take that upside with a long shot on the Swede, who has two top-16 finishes at this event in five appearances.

Monday odds update: Noren is +11000 at FanDuel.

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