2023 Genesis Invitational Updated Odds, Expert Picks: Value on Hovland, Burns at Riviera

2023 Genesis Invitational Updated Odds, Expert Picks: Value on Hovland, Burns at Riviera article feature image

Getty Images. Pictured: Sam Burns (left) and Viktor Hovland.

Click arrow to expand the Genesis Invitational odds via PointsBet
Player NameOdds
Jon Rahm+750
Rory McIlroy+850
Scottie Scheffler+1000
Tony Finau+1600
Justin Thomas+1600
Xander Schauffele+1600
Max Homa+2000
Collin Morikawa+2000
Patrick Cantlay+2200
Viktor Hovland+2800
Cameron Young+3000
Sungjae Im+3000
Jordan Spieth+3500
Sam Burns+3500
Will Zalatoris+4000
Matt Fitzpatrick+4000
Jason Day+4500
Tom Kim+4500
Hideki Matsuyama+5000
Tyrrell Hatton+5000
Keegan Bradley+6000
Rickie Fowler+6000
Adam Scott+6000
Taylor Montgomery+6600
Sahith Theegala+6600
Justin Rose+7500
Russell Henley+8000
Tommy Fleetwood+9000
Alex Noren+9000
Keith Mitchell+9000
Corey Conners+9000
Seamus Power+9000
Brian Harman+9000
Wyndham Clark+9000
Si Woo Kim+10000
Shane Lowry+10000
K.H. Lee+11000
Adam Hadwin+11000
Taylor Moore+12500
Tom Hoge+12500
Patrick Rodgers+12500
Tiger Woods+12500
J.T. Poston+12500
Lucas Herbert+12500
Beau Hossler+15000
Billy Horschel+15000
Kurt Kitayama+15000
Scott Stallings+15000
Thomas Detry+15000
Luke List+15000
Nick Taylor+15000
Denny McCarthy+17500
Alex Smalley+17500
Adrian Meronk+17500
Cam Davis+17500
Gary Woodland+17500
Jhonattan Vegas+17500
Matt Kuchar+20000
J.J. Spaun+20000
Hayden Buckley+20000
Joel Dahmen+20000
Sam Ryder+20000
Stephan Jaeger+25000
Brendon Todd+25000
Andrew Putnam+25000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+25000
Emiliano Grillo+25000
Dylan Frittelli+30000
Trey Mullinax+30000
Nick Hardy+30000
Harris English+30000
James Hahn+30000
S.H. Kim+30000
Mackenzie Hughes+30000
Sepp Straka+30000
Francesco Molinari+30000
David Lipsky+35000
Callum Tarren+35000
Aaron Rai+35000
Brandon Wu+35000
Davis Thompson+35000
Matthew NeSmith+35000
Justin Suh+35000
Patton Kizzire+40000
Lanto Griffin+40000
Kevin Kisner+40000
Peter Malnati+40000
Martin Laird+40000
Greyson Sigg+40000
Ben Taylor+40000
Russell Knox+40000
Matt Wallace+40000
Cameron Champ+40000
Mark Hubbard+40000
Danny Willett+40000
Stewart Cink+40000
Danny Lee+40000
Justin Lower+40000
Lee Hodges+40000
Adam Svensson+40000
Chez Reavie+50000
Keita Nakajima+50000
Troy Merritt+50000
Kevin Streelman+50000
Nate Lashley+50000
Kevin Tway+50000
Scott Piercy+50000
Adam Schenk+50000
Doug Ghim+60000
Chesson Hadley+60000
Adam Long+60000
Luke Donald+60000
Lucas Glover+60000
Michael Thompson+60000
Yeongsu Kim+70000
Doc Redman+70000
Matthias Schwab+70000
J.B. Holmes+70000
Jack Wall+75000
Ryan Brehm+100000
Nick Watney+100000
Marcus Byrd+100000
Kramer Hickok+100000
Robert Streb+100000
Tyler Duncan+100000
Kelly Kraft+100000
Austin Smotherman+100000
Chad Ramey+100000
Max McGreevy+100000

TPC Scottsdale held true to form with another name at the top winning the title.

Scottie Scheffler ended up defending his title despite Nick Taylor playing probably as well as he has since joining the PGA TOUR.

Favorites winning doesn't ever work in my favor, so it's easy to move on to California for the Genesis Invitational, where the headline is Eldrick's return.

The Course

Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles measures 7,340 yards for a par-71 as it ranks as one of the toughest tests from tee to green on TOUR. Each year, it tends to have some of the hardest fairways and greens to hit.

Since players often struggle to find the fairways and greens, I put more of an emphasis on scrambling at Riviera than I would during a normal tournament.

On easier courses, that doesn’t come into play as much because if players are scrambling, then they aren’t usually creating enough birdie chances to win anyway. But on this course, the winner will likely need to find a way to get up and down five or six times per round.

This course has also favored bombers in recent years. Bubba Watson has won three times in the last nine years. Dustin Johnson and J.B. Holmes also have wins here during that time frame.

Prior to that run, though, shorter hitters like Steve Stricker, Bill Haas, Aaron Baddeley and John Merrick also had success here. When in doubt, it’s probably best to favor length, but a shorter hitter who stays out of trouble can also contend.

The Favorites

The field is pretty much the same as last week, so we're not getting much change in the odds.

Jon Rahm moves slightly ahead of Rory McIlroy as the favorite with Scheffler close behind following his win. McIlroy has the best track record here with three top 10s in the past four years and will probably feel that he let the 2020 title slip away after entering with a share of the lead.

Xander Schauffele, Tony Finau and Justin Thomas make up the teens. Finau and Thomas have both had real chances here. Finau came up short to Max Homa in a playoff two years ago. Thomas had the 2019 version basically wrapped up before blowing a four-shot lead to JB Holmes.

We have another strong group in the +2000s, including Homa, Patrick Cantlay, Collin Morikawa, Sungjae Im and Viktor Hovland. Hovland catches my eye the most here. I played him at +3300, and that's down to +2800 in most places now. He has recorded top-five finishes in both his appearances here.

We mentioned how this course puts the emphasis on scrambling, and that's notably been his weak point so far. But in those two starts, his around the green game hovered around the field average. He had a dip there last week in Scottsdale, but overall, his game has been trending up in that direction. With an improved short game to go along with some of the best ball striking on TOUR, he might be ready for a breakthrough season.

The Midtier

I'll start here with Sam Burns at +3300 on BetRivers. Burns held the 36 hole lead here two years ago, but a slow Saturday saw him miss the Finau/Homa playoff by a shot. He's in solid form entering the week with a 6th and 11th his past two starts. He's got the strong short game that this course requires as well, so he should be a good fit.

I'm also going to Adam Scott who opened at +6600 and has dipped to +5500 everywhere. Scott is as consistent as they come at Riviera. He's got five top 10s in the past eight starts, including the win in 2020. Scott was one of the few who sat out Phoenix last week to give this event his full attention.

The Longshots

Because of the importance of the short game, this is one of the big events where we can see a longshot sneak in from out of nowhere.

One player I like this week down here is Lucas Herbert at 150/1 on BetRivers. He's got the solid short game we need to contend at Riviera. His biggest weakness in the accuracy with the driver. These are some of the tougher fairways to hit anyway, so that could drag down the field to his level when approaching the green from the rough. He's been playing well of late as well, placing third a couple of times in the Middle East at the Saudi and Dubai events.

I'll close here with Adam Hadwin at 130/1 on DraftKings. Hadwin is one of the players who can take advantage of his accuracy off the tee and pop up with a good driving week. He's been playing well for awhile now, making every cut since the John Deere last year. He finished 10th last week in the loaded WM Phoenix Open field. He's also made the cut in seven of eight tries here, including a sixth-place finish back in 2018.

We've seen both of these styles work well here, so I'll take one shot on each with guys who are playing well coming in.

The Genesis Invitational Card

  • Viktor Hovland +2800
  • Sam Burns +3300
  • Adam Scott +5500
  • Adam Hadwin +13000
  • Lucas Herbert +15000

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.