Tough to Count on Schwartzel’s Ball-Striking at U.S. Open

Tough to Count on Schwartzel’s Ball-Striking at U.S. Open article feature image

May 12, 2018; Ponte Vedra Beach, FL, USA; Charl Schwartzel plays from a bunker on the 14th hole during the third round of The Players Championship golf tournament at TPC Sawgrass – Stadium Course. Mandatory Credit: Peter Casey-USA TODAY Sports

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Charl Schwartzel

DFS Pricing: $7,700 DraftKings, $8,800 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): 14, MC, 7, T-23, MC

Odds: +8000 to win, +700 top-10 finish, +350 top-20 finish, +200 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +200 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Charl Schwartzel (+105) over Brandt Snedeker

Tee Times: 7:51 a.m. (Thursday); 1:36 p.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

Schwartzel has been very boom-or-bust this season: Over his past seven events, he has two top 10s and four missed cuts. And by missed cuts, I mean he sometimes wasn’t even particularly close. He’s been a bit better recently, especially with his irons, and missed the cut at the Memorial mostly because of a rough putter. The 33-year-old major winner has pretty solid history at U.S. Opens, but it’s hard to believe he’s fully ready to be back at a course such as Shinnecock. His odds aren’t great for someone who ranks 75th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, so he’ll be a comfortable fade for me.

The Metrics

Here’s how Schwartzel ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-47th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-23rd
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 75th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 63rd
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 63rd

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.