Tough to Count on Schwartzel’s Ball-Striking at U.S. Open
May 12, 2018; Ponte Vedra Beach, FL, USA; Charl Schwartzel plays from a bunker on the 14th hole during the third round of The Players Championship golf tournament at TPC Sawgrass – Stadium Course. Mandatory Credit: Peter Casey-USA TODAY Sports
For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.
The Info: Charl Schwartzel
DFS Pricing: $7,700 DraftKings, $8,800 FanDuel
U.S. Open History (2013-2017): 14, MC, 7, T-23, MC
Odds: +8000 to win, +700 top-10 finish, +350 top-20 finish, +200 to miss cut
Best Odds Value: +200 to miss cut
Best Matchup Value: Charl Schwartzel (+105) over Brandt Snedeker
Tee Times: 7:51 a.m. (Thursday); 1:36 p.m. (Friday)
Schwartzel has been very boom-or-bust this season: Over his past seven events, he has two top 10s and four missed cuts. And by missed cuts, I mean he sometimes wasn’t even particularly close. He’s been a bit better recently, especially with his irons, and missed the cut at the Memorial mostly because of a rough putter. The 33-year-old major winner has pretty solid history at U.S. Opens, but it’s hard to believe he’s fully ready to be back at a course such as Shinnecock. His odds aren’t great for someone who ranks 75th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, so he’ll be a comfortable fade for me.
Here’s how Schwartzel ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.
- Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-47th
- Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-23rd
- Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 75th
- Long-Term Driving Distance: 63rd
- Strokes Gained: Approach: 63rd
Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.