2022 Charles Schwab Challenge Odds & Sleeper Picks: Harold Varner Among 3 Longshots to Target

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge Odds & Sleeper Picks: Harold Varner Among 3 Longshots to Target article feature image

David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Harold Varner III.

Click arrow to expand 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds via BetMGM

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge Odds

Justin Thomas+1100
Jordan Spieth+1200
Scottie Scheffler+1200
Collin Morikawa+1800
Viktor Hovland+2000
Will Zalatoris+2000
Max Homa+2800
Sam Burns+2800
Abraham Ancer+3300
Daniel Berger+3300
Sungjae Im+3300
Tony Finau+3300
Webb Simpson+3300
Chris Kirk+4000
Davis Riley+4000
Jason Kokrak+4000
Kevin Na+4000
Mito Pereira+4000
Talor Gooch+4000
Tommy Fleetwood+4000
Billy Horschel+5000
Brian Harman+5000
Gary Woodland+5000
Harold Varner III+5000
Justin Rose+5000
Sebastian Munoz+5000
Tom Hoge+5000
C.T. Pan+6600
Maverick McNealy+6600
Ryan Palmer+6600
Adam Long+8000
Cameron Tringale+8000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+8000
K.H. Lee+8000
Patrick Reed+8000
Troy Merritt+8000
David Lipsky+10000
Doug Ghim+10000
Erik van Rooyen+10000
J.J. Spaun+10000
J.T. Poston+10000
Kevin Kisner+10000
Lucas Glover+10000
Lucas Herbert+10000
Matthew NeSmith+10000
Rickie Fowler+10000
Stewart Cink+10000
Aaron Rai+12500
Alex Smalley+12500
Brendon Todd+12500
Cam Davis+12500
Denny McCarthy+12500
Emiliano Grillo+12500
Ian Poulter+12500
James Hahn+12500
Joel Dahmen+12500
Kevin Streelman+12500
Nate Lashley+12500
Patrick Rodgers+12500
Patton Kizzire+12500
Russell Knox+12500
Dylan Frittelli+15000
Kurt Kitayama+15000
Mark Hubbard+15000
Pat Perez+15000
Peter Malnati+15000
Rory Sabbatini+15000
Scott Stallings+15000
Stephan Jaeger+15000
Taylor Moore+15000
Greyson Sigg+15000
Austin Smotherman+20000
Brandon Wu+20000
Carlos Ortiz+20000
Chad Ramey+20000
Chez Reavie+20000
Matt Jones+20000
Matthias Schwab+20000
Min Woo Lee+20000
Nick Taylor+20000
Sahith Theegala+20000
Vince Whaley+20000
Wyndham Clark+20000
Adam Schenk+25000
Beau Hossler+25000
Brandt Snedeker+25000
Danny Lee+25000
Michael Thompson+25000
Richard Bland+25000
Trey Mullinax+25000
Tyler Duncan+25000
Zach Johnson+25000
Scott Piercy+25000
Adam Svensson+30000
Andrew Putnam+30000
Charley Hoffman+30000
Doc Redman+30000
Harry Higgs+30000
Kramer Hickok+30000
Lee Hodges+30000
Luke Donald+30000
Paul Barjon+30000
Robert Streb+30000
Sam Ryder+30000
John Huh+30000
Brian Stuard+35000
Garrick Higgo+35000
Kevin Tway+40000
Bill Haas+50000
Camilo Villegas+50000
Hayden Buckley+50000
John Pak+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Nick Watney+50000
Ryan Brehm+50000
Max McGreevy+75000
Jason Dufner+100000
Erik Compton+100000
James Piot+100000
Tyler Strafaci+100000
Bet the Charles Schwab Challenge, Win $200 (No Matter What!)

The week after a major on the PGA TOUR can feel like a letdown, but that’s not the case this week for a variety of reasons.

The TOUR heads to Colonial for the Charles Schwab Challenge, a favorite stop for many of the game’s best, which has led to a field with plenty of pop at the top. Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth, and Collin Morikawa headline an impressive field.

In addition to Colonial’s prominence on the annual calendar, the movement of the PGA Championship from August to May has given the golf season an injection of energy. The US Open is just three weeks away, leaving few chances for players to stay in form and prepare for the next major on the schedule.

Those factors should make this weekend plenty exciting for fans, but bettors will be sliding their eyes further down the board looking for a dark horse to play at Colonial this weekend. These three longshots offer value at this venue:

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Harold Varner +6500

Colonial offers a unique test on the PGA TOUR. The TOUR has made a stop in Fort Worth every year since 1946. As the longest running annual (non-major) event held at the same venue, Colonial does not look, feel, or play like the other courses that pros seek on a weekly basis.

Instead of favoring bombers, Colonial is most advantageous for players who excel with their irons and around the greens. It’s no surprise that Dallas-Fort Worth native Jordan Spieth has found plenty of success at this venue.

Finding other players who boast those two skills is a key to cracking the case at Colonial. Over the last six months, only four players rank in the top 20 worldwide in Strokes Gained: Approach and Around the Green: Justin Thomas, Scottie Scheffler, Russell Henley, and Harold Varner III.

Scheffler and Thomas, the top ranked player in the world and the freshly crowned PGA champion, respectively, are among the favorites this week, and Henley is not in the field.

Varner, however, has plenty of value further down the board. He hasn’t missed a cut since February and seems poised to best his previous high finish at this venue, a T19 in 2020.

Ian Poulter +13000

The European Ryder Cup legend is not playing the best golf of his career right now, but he does typically play well here at Colonial. He has played this event on eight occasions and finished in the top 15 in half of those starts, including a T3 finish just last year.

He finds ways to contend, largely on the strength of his putter. No player in this week’s field has gained more strokes per round on the greens over the last two years than Poulter, per DataGolf.

If you believe the tea leaves being dropped in the media, Poulter sounds like one of the bigger names considering leaving the PGA Tour for the Saudi-backed LIV Golf events being offered later this year.

It would be fitting for one of the game’s most prolific heels to collect his first win over four years before skipping town for good.

Emiliano Grillo +21000

Every long shot is a long shot for a reason, especially those paying out at odds as high as Grillo this week. The Argentinian is on the back half of his career, and it shows, with just three made cuts in his last 14 PGA Tour starts. He has not posted a top 20 since last July’s British Open.

There are reasons, however, to be optimistic about his chances this week.

Though he’s missed the cut in most of his starts this year, he made the weekend in each of his last two events, at the Mexico Open and Byron Nelson. A little upward trend goes a long way.

More importantly, he’s a horse for the course here at Colonial. Only six players in this week’s field with 12 or more rounds played at this course have gained more strokes per round than Grillo. His T8 finish last year was his most recent top 10 worldwide, and he also nabbed a T19 in 2019 and a solo third in 2018 here at Colonial.

It’s a long, long shot, but there’s some value behind it. Don’t be surprised to see Grillo post a decent score over 72 holes at a course where he feels comfortable.

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