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2022 Charles Schwab Challenge FRL Odds & Picks: Justin Rose, 3 More to Back for First-Round Leader

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge FRL Odds & Picks: Justin Rose, 3 More to Back for First-Round Leader article feature image
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Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Rose.

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2022 Charles Schwab Challenge Odds

Golfer Odds
Jordan Spieth +2500
Justin Thomas +2500
Scottie Scheffler +2500
Collin Morikawa +2800
Viktor Hovland +2800
Will Zalatoris +3000
Max Homa +3300
Sam Burns +3300
Tommy Fleetwood +3300
Abraham Ancer +4000
Billy Horschel +4000
Daniel Berger +4000
Talor Gooch +4000
Tony Finau +4000
Chris Kirk +5000
Davis Riley +5000
Gary Woodland +5000
Im Sung-jae +5000
Justin Rose +5000
Webb Simpson +5000
Brian Harman +6000
Harold Varner III +6000
Jason Kokrak +6000
Kevin Na +6000
Maverick McNealy +6000
Mito Guillermo Pereira +6000
Patrick Reed +6000
Rickie Fowler +6000
Sebastian Munoz +6000
Tom Hoge +6000
Cheng-Tsung Pan +6600
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6600
Kevin Kisner +6600
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +6600
Ryan Palmer +6600
Adam Long +7500
Cameron Davis +7500
Lucas Herbert +7500
Nate Lashley +7500
Russell Knox +7500
Sahith Theegala +7500
Stewart Cink +7500
Troy Merritt +7500
Aaron Rai +8000
Brandon Wu +8000
Cameron Tringale +8000
David Lipsky +8000
Erik Van Rooyen +8000
Ian Poulter +8000
J. J. Spaun +8000
James Hahn +8000
Joel Dahmen +8000
JT Poston +8000
Kurt Kitayama +8000
Lucas Glover +8000
Matthew NeSmith +8000
Patton Kizzire +8000
Adam Schenk +10000
Adam Svensson +10000
Alex Smalley +10000
Austin Smotherman +10000
Beau Hossler +10000
Bill Haas +10000
Brandt Snedeker +10000
Brendon Todd +10000
Brian Stuard +10000
Carlos Ortiz +10000
Chad Ramey +10000
Charley Hoffman +10000
Chez Reavie +10000
Danny Lee +10000
Denny McCarthy +10000
Doc Redman +10000
Doug Ghim +10000
Dylan Frittelli +10000
Emiliano Grillo +10000
Erik Compton +10000
Garrick Higgo +10000
Gresyon Sigg +10000
Harry Higgs +10000
Kevin Streelman +10000
Kevin Tway +10000
Kramer Hickok +10000
Lee Hodges +10000
Luke Donald +10000
Mark Hubbard +10000
Matt Jones +10000
Matthias Schwab +10000
Min Woo Lee +10000
Nick Taylor +10000
Nick Watney +10000
Pat Perez +10000
Patrick Rodgers +10000
Peter Malnati +10000
Richard Bland +10000
Robert Streb +10000
Rory Sabbatini +10000
Sam Ryder +10000
Scott Piercy +10000
Scott Stallings +10000
Stephan Jaeger +10000
Taylor Moore +10000
Trey Mullinax +10000
Tyler Duncan +10000
Wyndham Clark +10000
Zach Johnson +10000
Vincent Whaley +12500
Andrew D. Putnam +15000
Camilo Villegas +15000
James Piot +15000
Jason Dufner +15000
John Pak +15000
Max McGreevy +15000
Michael Thompson +15000
Paul Barjon +15000
Ryan Brehm +15000
John Huh +15000
Hayden Buckley +20000
Martin Trainer +22500
Tyler Strafaci +22500
Bet the Charles Schwab Challenge, Win $200 (No Matter What!)

Historically at Colonial Country Club, there hasn’t been a major advantage for morning or afternoon starters in terms of the first-round leader market at the Charles Schwab Challenge.

There have been a few more morning starters to start fast than afternoon starters, but both should absolutely be in play. Each of the past two seasons have produced co-leaders at 7-under with one of the two players having come from the morning and the other from the afternoon.

When looking at the wind forecast in Fort Worth this week for Thursday’s first round, it appears that 10 a.m.-4 p.m. might get a bit breezy with gusts around 20 mph. It might be wise to have at least one golfer on your first-round leader card that tees off prior to 8 a.m. CT.

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2022 Charles Schwab Challenge FRL Picks

Jordan Spieth +2200

I am incredibly high on Jordan Spieth’s chances of winning this golf tournament, as I stated in my tournament preview. His course history is too strong to ignore with seven top-10 finishes in his past nine starts including three runners-up and a win at the course. His current form is also excellent, as he’s striking the ball beautifully and seems to be as confident as I can remember from tee to green.

When Spieth wins, he tends to start hot. Last year at this event, he was the first-round co-leader with Sergio Garcia after schooling a seven-under 63. I’d argue that in most cases, an outright bet on Spieth should be accompanied with a first-round leader bet.

The Texan isn’t the type to chase the leader down on Sunday or backdoor his way into a win. If he wins this week, it will be in large part due to his ability to start fast.

Justin Rose +5000

“Rosie” was the first-round leader at this event in 2020. He was able to rise to the top on Thursday in one of the most stacked fields we’ve ever seen at Colonial Country Club. He eventually finished third that week but won the tournament back in 2018. The Englishman clearly really enjoys the golf course.

Rose’s iron play really came around last week, gaining 5.2 strokes on approach. With Colonial having smaller than TOUR average greens, precision on his second shots will be a major asset this week. He also has the capability to get extremely hot with the putter which is a skill I love targeting for a first-round leader.

Rose ranks third in the field in Strokes Gained: Total at Colonial Country Club.

C.T. Pan +6600

Pan’s consistent iron play over the course of the 2022 season is what makes him a good bet in all markets this week. The 30-year-old has gained strokes on approach in seven consecutive events.

When Pan gets to a course that isn’t too long for him to contend, he tends to take advantage. He ranks 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Total on short par 70s, and Colonial isn’t a course that will penalize him too harshly for being short off the tee.

While he isn’t the best putter on TOUR, Pan tends to do his best putting on Bentgrass, which is what we’ll see this week.

Rory Sabbatini +10000

You probably wouldn’t know it, but in his last 12 rounds, Rory Sabbatini ranks 18th in this strong field in Strokes Gained: Total in the first round. The 46-year old has been quietly playing some good golf of late. He gained 4.4 strokes on approach in his most recent start at the Byron Nelson and has made five consecutive cuts on TOUR.

In addition to the recent resurgence, Sabbatini also has some strong course form at Colonial. Three of his past four trips to the golf course have resulted in a top-20 finish.

“Sabbs” has already shown us he can go low this season, as he fired a first round 64 at the Honda Classic earlier this year. The strong start left him one shot shy of the first-round lead.

At this stage of his career, Sabbatini may not have what it takes to win the event, but he’s capable of beating the field on Thursday.

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