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2022 Farmers Insurance Open Odds, Longshot Picks: Max Homa Headlines 3 Dark Horse Bets

2022 Farmers Insurance Open Odds, Longshot Picks: Max Homa Headlines 3 Dark Horse Bets article feature image
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Gregory Shamus/Getty Images. Pictured: Max Homa

2022 Farmers Insurance Open Odds via BetMGM

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Player Odds
Jon Rahm +700
Justin Thomas +1400
Hideki Matsuyama +1800
Xander Schauffele +1800
Bryson DeChambeau +2000
Daniel Berger +2200
Dustin Johnson +2200
Sam Burns +2500
Tony Finau +2500
Scottie Scheffler +2800
Sungjae Im +2800
Brooks Koepka +3300
Marc Leishman +3300
Will Zalatoris +3300
Jordan Spieth +4000
Max Homa +5000
Patrick Reed +5000
Talor Gooch +5000
Corey Conners +5000
Francesco Molinari +6600
Jason Day +6600
Justin Rose +6600
Lanto Griffin +6600
Luke List +6600
Matthew Wolff +6600
Maverick McNealy +6600
Si Woo Kim +6600
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6600
Joaquin Niemann +6600
Ryan Palmer +6600
Aaron Wise +8000
Cam Davis +8000
Cameron Tringale +8000
Jhonattan Vegas +8000
Billy Horschel +8000
Keegan Bradley +8000
Mackenzie Hughes +8000
Tom Hoge +8000
Keith Mitchell +10000
Mito Pereira +10000
Rickie Fowler +10000
Brandt Snedeker +10000
Alex Noren +12500
Carlos Ortiz +12500
Gary Woodland +12500
Carlos Ortiz +12500
Gary Woodland +12500
Hudson Swafford +12500
Matt Jones +12500
Patrick Rodgers +12500
Patton Kizzire +12500
Adam Hadwin +15000
Adam Svensson +15000
Alex Smalley +15000
Charley Hoffman +15000
Joel Dahmen +15000
Joseph Bramlett +15000
Lee Hodges +15000
Taylor Moore +15000
Wyndham Clark +15000
Aaron Rai +15000
Cameron Champ +15000
Doug Ghim +15000
Emiliano Grillo +15000
Harry Higgs +15000
Kevin Streelman +15000
Kyle Stanley +15000
Sebastian Munoz +15000
Vincent Whaley +15000
C.T. Pan +20000
Davis Riley +20000
Dylan Frittelli +20000
Hayden Buckley +20000
Henrik Norlander +20000
Michael Thompson +20000
Nick Taylor +20000
Phil Mickelson +20000
Sahith Theegala +20000
Scott Stallings +20000
Cameron Young +20000
Chez Reavie +20000
Greyson Sigg +20000
J.J. Spaun +20000
Taylor Pendrith +20000
Adam Long +25000
Adam Schenk +25000
Camilo Villegas +25000
Danny Lee +25000
David Lipsky +25000
Dylan Wu +25000
Hank Lebioda +25000
J.T. Poston +25000
Jason Dufner +25000
John Huh +25000
Martin Laird +25000
Matthew NeSmith +25000
Paul Barjon +25000
Robert Streb +25000
Rory Sabbatini +25000
Sepp Straka +25000
Stephan Jaeger +25000
Andrew Novak +30000
Bronson Burgoon +30000
Chad Ramey +30000
James Hahn +30000
Sam Ryder +30000
Scott Piercy +30000
Tyler McCumber +30000
Austin Eckroat +30000
Max McGreevy +35000
Nick Hardy +35000
Pat Perez +35000
Trey Mullinax +35000
Anirban Lahiri +40000
Brandon Hagy +40000
Brian Stuard +40000
Brice Garnett +40000
Doc Redman +40000
Kevin Tway +40000
Peter Uihlein +40000
Richy Werenski +40000
Sung Kang +40000
Max McGreevy +40000
Peter Malnati +40000
Richy Werenski +40000
Sung Kang +40000
Jonathan Byrd +40000
Ben Kohles +50000
Brandon Wu +50000
David Skinns +50000
Jim Herman +50000
Jimmy Walker +50000
Joshua Creel +50000
Kevin Chappell +50000
Kevin Yu +50000
Michael Gligic +50000
Nick Watney +50000
Peter Malnati +50000
Scott Gutschewski +50000
Seth Reeves +50000
Justin Lower +50000
Kamaiu Johnson +50000
Kurt Kitayama +50000
Martin Trainer +50000
Michael Block +50000
Michael Gligic +50000
Nick Watney +50000
Ryan Alford +50000
Scott Gutschewski +50000
Seth Reeves +50000
Taylor Montgomery +50000
Brent Grant +50000
Austin Cook +60000
Bill Haas +60000
Callum Tarren +60000
Chesson Hadley +60000
Justin Lower +60000
Kurt Kitayama +60000
Martin Trainer +60000
Austin Smotherman +75000
Brett Drewitt +75000
Chris Stroud +75000
Curtis Thompson +75000
Dawie van der Walt +75000
Jared Wolfe +75000
Seung Yul Noh +75000
Jared du Toit +75000
Jonas Blixt +100000
Max Sear +100000
Ryan Alford +200000
Kamaiu Johnson +250000
Michael Block +300000

This weekend’s Farmers Insurance Open will feature the best field we’ve seen during the 2022 FedEx Cup season.

Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson and many of the world’s top-ranked players will be teeing it up at Torrey Pines, with the event scheduled to run Wednesday to Saturday. The TOUR hopes to attract a big audience with a Saturday finish before the NFL dominates the sports landscape on Sunday.

The influx of top talent certainly hurts the chances of a longshot winner, but it does help juice the odds for players further down the board. A group of players with momentum after a strong wraparound season or a history of strong play at Torrey Pines can be wagered on at a massive price this weekend.

Three names — all of which are being offered at +7000 or longer — stand out to me for longshot value this week:

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Max Homa +8000

Max Homa enters the Farmers playing some sneaky good golf of late. His last three tournament rounds, all at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, were all sub-68. That is enough momentum to like his chances at Torrey Pines, where he has played well in the past. He posted a top-20 finish in each of the last two years at this event.

Homa has always played well in his home state of California. Each of his last two PGA TOUR wins came in the Golden State. In those wins, he showed some real skill on and around the greens, clearly thanks to some familiarity with playing on the West Coast. Homa was top-15 in Strokes Gained: putting and SG: Around the Green at his wins at the Fortinet Championship and the Genesis Invitational.

If Homa can post similar numbers this week, he’ll have a chance. In the history of this event, the winner gains 56.5 percent of his strokes on the field on and around the greens, about 6.5 percent higher than the average TOUR stop.

Bet Max Homa at Caesars and get a $5,000 risk-free first bet.

Francesco Molinari +10000

It has been a while since we’ve seen Molinari in the winner’s circle to end a golf tournament. His last win on TOUR was the 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

That day, he was the World No. 7. Last week, he entered the American Express ranked 249th. His fall from the ranks has been swift and steep.

Marianna Massey/Getty Images. Pictured: Francesco Molinari

He did, however, jump back up the world rankings with a great performance in Palm Springs, earning a tie for sixth. That’s good news for Molinari entering the Farmers, where he has always excelled. Among players in this week’s field with 15 rounds at Torrey Pines South, he has the sixth-best strokes gained per round.

Last season, Molinari posted just three top-10 finishes. All three came during the PGA TOUR’s winter swing through California. He played well at last week’s American Express and I expect him to continue that uptick this week.

Bet Francesco Molinari at DraftKings and get a $1,000 sign-up bonus.

Brandt Snedeker +11000

If there is a horse for this course, it’s Sneds. In 45 career rounds at Torrey Pines South, he has gained 2.11 strokes per round on the field. Of the players in this week’s field with multiple rounds played at Torrey Pines, only Jon Rahm has fared better than Snedeker in that statistic.

In past tournaments at this course, he has shined. Snedeker has made the cut at this event seven straight years, with three top-10 finishes and a victory in that span.

Some of that success was years ago, when Snedeker was a top-50 golfer in the world, so it’s worth noting that he has earned just one top-10 in the last 24 months. He did finish T3 at this event in 2020, perhaps proving that if he’s going to catch fire somewhere, it’s here at Torrey Pines.

Maybe against a stacked field he’s not the smartest bet for an outright win, which would be his first since 2018, but the smart play is to take Snedeker to make the cut or find his way into the top-20.

Bet Brandt Snedeker at Caesars and get a $5,000 risk-free first bet.

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