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Genesis Scottish Open Round 4: Expert Predictions, Picks, Odds for Sunday, July 12

Genesis Scottish Open Round 4: Expert Predictions, Picks, Odds for Sunday, July 12 article feature image
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Jun 20, 2026; Southampton, New York, USA; Justin Thomas plays from the tall grass on 16th fairway the during the third round of the U.S. Open golf tournament at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images

The fourth round of the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open gets underway on Sunday at The Renaissance Club in North Berwick, Scotland.

Michael Thorbjornsen and Matt Fitzpatrick are tied for first at 11-under par after the third day of the tournament. However, there are plenty of big names chasing with nearly a full round-and-a-half to go following Saturday's suspension of play.

Here are my picks and Genesis Scottish Open Round 4 best bets.

Genesis Scottish Open Round 4 Best Bets

Si Woo Kim Top-20 (-136 at DraftKings)

After a disappointing opening round, Si Woo Kim has roared back with a 67 and 66 over the past two rounds. He enters Sunday at T16, and at -136, he is worth backing to maintain this position through the tournament's final day.

The Renaissance Club stretches nearly 7,200 yards and requires strong long-iron play, particularly in windy conditions. Last year, more than 36% of approach shots came from 200-plus yards, well above the PGA Tour average.

This setup makes Kim a strong option this weekend.

One of the best long-iron players in the world, Kim enters this week ranked in the 96th percentile in strokes gained: approach and in the 97th percentile in strokes gained: approach from 200-plus yards.


Justin Thomas Top-20 (+220 at DraftKings)

Another golfer worth targeting in this market is Justin Thomas. Playing consistently good golf this week, Thomas has yet to shoot worse than one-under par through the first three rounds.

At +220, it's worth taking a shot on Thomas to improve by a couple of shots on Sunday to make his way into the top 20.

Like Kim, Thomas fits this course well.

Entering this week, he ranks in the 88th percentile in strokes gained: approach and in the 85th percentile in strokes gained: approach from 200-plus yards.

Players will also need to rely on their short game if windy conditions intensify. Last year, each of the top five finishers ranked among the top 14 in the field in strokes gained: putting.

No other strokes-gained category showed a similar trend.

Thomas has proven capable on the greens, ranking in the 88th percentile in strokes gained: putting. He has also been in great form, having finished inside the top 20 in each of his past six tournaments.

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