2018 British Open: A Healthy Henrik Stenson Is a Perfect Fit for Carnoustie

Jul 11, 2018 4:49 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.

Henrik Stenson’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $8,200 DraftKings, $11,600 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): 2, T-39, T-40, WIN, T-11

Odds: +2800 to win, +200 top-10 finish, +110 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +200 top-10 finish

Best Matchup Value: Stenson (-115) over Jordan Spieth (Sportsbook.ag)

Tee Times: 7:31 a.m. ET (Thursday); 2:30 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.

The Outlook

The 2016 Open champion shows up to Carnoustie with a few question marks surrounding his game. While his play has been solid of late (top 26 or better in his last eight U.S. starts), he did withdraw from the Scottish Open last week, leading to speculation about his health. Assuming his elbow is healthy, expect Stenson to stay on form and be a strong bet for a top 20 at Carnoustie, which favors accuracy and scrambling.

Stenson is as accurate off the tee with his 3-wood as nearly anyone, and his iron play has never been in question. If his health is not a concern, Stenson should once again be a factor at the Open Championship.

The Metrics

Here’s how Stenson ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-14th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-12th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 3rd
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 7th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 1st
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-96th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.


Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Henrik Stenson

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