2018 British Open: Slumping Hideki Matsuyama Unlikely to Figure Things Out

Jul 11, 2018 5:48 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Hideki Matsuyama’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $8,500 DraftKings, $10,500 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-6, T-39, T-18, MC, T-14

Odds: +5000 to win, +300 top-10 finish, +150 top-20 finish, -275 to make cut, +200 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +200 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 10:21 a.m. ET (Thursday), 5:20 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

A more polarizing twenty-something star would be stirring up the critics during an injury-plagued, inconsistent campaign so far. Even though he’s shown signs of life lately, Matsuyama has clearly underachieved, dropping from sixth to 16th in the past six months alone. There’s little reason to believe he’ll get it all figured out this week, either, as his lone top 10 in this tournament occurred when he was just 21 years old, three months after turning pro.


The Metrics

Here’s how Matsuyama ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-14th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-8th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 28th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 38th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 50th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-76th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Hideki Matsuyama

Follow Jason Sobel on Twitter
@JasonSobelTAN
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