2018 British Open: Ian Poulter Is a Solid Bet to Finish Top-25
Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ian Poulter
For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.
Ian Poulter’s British Open Odds
DFS Pricing: $7,800 DraftKings, $9,400 FanDuel
British Open History (2013-17): T-3, MC, MC, N/A, T-14
Odds: +6600 to win, +500 top-10 finish, +250 top-20 finish, +200 to miss cut
Best Odds Value: +250 top-20 finish
Best Matchup Value: Poulter (-125) over Phil Mickelson
Tee Times: 9:59 a.m. ET (Thursday), 4:58 a.m. ET (Friday)
A FedEx Cup points snafu gave Poulter a second life on the PGA Tour, and he has taken huge advantage of his opportunity. He has made 11-of-13 cuts this year, with three top 10s and a win to his credit. He has not finished outside the top 25 in his last four PGA Tour starts and had a respectable 30th-place finish last week at the Scottish Open. His ball-striking stats are much improved this year, but the putter is where Poulter makes himself dangerous. On a course where 6-10 foot par saves will be a common hurdle, Poulter is poised to pick up ground there. I see Poulter’s max upside as a top-10 finish this week with top-25 being a good bet.
Here’s how Poulter ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.
- Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-29th
- Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-23rd
- Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 30th
- Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-46th
- Strokes Gained: Approach: 17th
- Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-32nd
Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.