2018 British Open: Jason Day’s Weaknesses Could Be Magnified at Carnoustie

Jul 12, 2018 11:42 AM EDT
Credit:

Jun 21, 2018; Cromwell, CT, USA; Jason Day waves to the crowd after his birdie on the fourth hole during the first round of the Travelers Championship at TPC River Highlands. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Jason Day’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $8,800 DraftKings, $11,700 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-32, T-58, T-4, T-22, T-27

Odds: +3300 to win, +275 top-10 finish, +135 top-20 finish, -400 to make cut, +275 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +275 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Day (-115) over Sergio Garcia

Tee Times: 8:37 a.m. ET (Thursday); 3:36 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Out of all the majors, the British is the one that gives Day the most problems: He has just one top-20 finish in his seven career appearances. Links courses don’t really set up very well for his style: Day excels with his driver and putter; he ranks first in the field in Long-Term Putts Per Round (28.1). However, he struggles with accuracy and hitting greens in regulation. He certainly has the talent to contend, and he’s quite cheap on DraftKings ($8,800) relative to his talent, but outside of a super-hot putter, he’ll struggle to keep up with the top-end links players.


The Metrics

Here’s how Day ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-9th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-49th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 31st
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 115th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 73rd
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: 1st

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

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