2018 British Open: Justin Rose Is a Sharp DFS Play

Credit:

Shanna Lockwood-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Justin Rose

For analysis of the top 100 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.


Justin Rose’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $10,200 DraftKings, $12,200 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): MC, T-23, T-6, T-22, T-54

Odds: +1600 to win, +135 top-10 finish, -140 top-20 finish, -700 to make cut, +400 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +1600 to win

Best Matchup Value: Rose (-155) over Jon Rahm

Tee Times: 4:58 a.m. ET (Thursday), 9:59 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

I’m always onboard the Rose train, and for good reason: He owns the third-best Long-Term Adjusted Round Score (68.1) in the field, and he’s an excellent ball-striker, hitting 69.8% of GIR over the past 75 weeks. Rose is relatively long off the tee (303.3-yard Long-Term Driving Distance), which makes his 63% of fairways hit more impressive. Accuracy and distance will be crucial at Carnoustie with the narrow fairways, and Rose checks all those boxes. It’d be difficult to not back him in the DFS or betting markets considering only Dustin Johnson has averaged more birdies per tournament than Rose over the past 75 weeks. It also doesn’t hurt that Rose mustered a T-12 at Carnoustie when they hosted this tournament in 2007.


The Metrics

Here’s how Rose ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-3rd
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: 3rd
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 11th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 34th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 22nd
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-51st

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 100 best golfers in the field.

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