2018 British Open: Louis Oosthuizen’s Injury Makes Him a Risky Bet

Jul 16, 2018 3:29 PM EDT
Credit:

Jun 2, 2018; Dublin, OH, USA; Louis Oosthuizen plays his shot from the first tee during the third round of The Memorial golf tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Louis Oosthuizen’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,700 DraftKings, $9,900 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): WD, T-36, T-2, MC, MC

Odds: +8000 to win, +500 top-10 finish, +250 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +250 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: Oosthuizen (-125) over Thomas Pieters (Sportsbook.ag)

Tee Times: 5:20 a.m. ET (Thursday), 10:21 a.m. ET (Friday)


The Outlook

There’s an old adage in this fine game: Beware the injured golfer. Then again, there’s also this one: Never pick a guy who just WD’d with a neck injury the week before a major. The list of players who have parlayed pain into profit is a lengthy and distinguished one, but the 2010 Open champion comes with plenty of red flags this week. Even if his neck heals, trashing his plan of competing at the Scottish Open beforehand could be enough to keep him from having his best stuff at Carnoustie.


The Metrics

Here’s how Oosthuizen ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-24th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-8th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 40th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 114th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 71st
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-32nd

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

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