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2018 British Open: Is Martin Kaymer a Sneaky Longshot Play?

Jul 12, 2018 1:44 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Martin Kaymer’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,400 DraftKings, $7,900 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-32, 70, T-12, T-36, T-37

Odds: +20,000 to win, +1000 top-10 finish, +400 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +400 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 1:35 a.m. ET (Thursday), 6:36 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

He once claimed a PGA Championship from (kinda) out of nowhere, then four years later won a U.S. Open from (sorta) out of nowhere. So now, another four years since that last victory, with Kaymer seemingly struggling before this week, maybe he can claim a third leg of the career slam (a bit) out of nowhere. If he does it, I’m putting everything I own on him at the 2022 Masters — you know, patterns and stuff.


The Metrics

Here’s how Kaymer ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-79th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-109th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: N/A
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-74th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: N/A
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-96th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Martin Kaymer

Follow Jason Sobel on Twitter
@JasonSobelTAN

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