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2018 British Open: Shane Lowry’s Current Form Makes Him a Fade Candidate

Jul 12, 2018 12:24 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Shane Lowry’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,500 DraftKings, $8,100 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-32, T-9, MC, MC, MC

Odds: +15,000 to win, +800 top-10 finish, +350 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +15,000 to win

Best Matchup Value: Lowry (-115) over Lee Westwood (Sportsbook.ag)

Tee Times: 2:41 a.m. ET (Thursday), 7:42 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

On the surface, the Irishman is one of those sneaky-but-not-too-sneaky picks, the type of guy who’s a bit off the radar but makes perfect sense at this event. Except … he doesn’t. Lowry has somewhat inexplicably missed the cut in each of the last three editions of the Open Championship, and his performance this year has been less than stellar, as he’s failed to record even a single top 10 in the past seven months. It stands to reason that he should feel a comfort level on the links, but form and recent history suggest picking him to contend might be a fool’s errand.


The Metrics

Here’s how Lowry ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-64th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-69th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 52nd
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-31st
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 47th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-108th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Shane Lowry

Follow Jason Sobel on Twitter
@JasonSobelTAN

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