2018 British Open: Tommy Fleetwood’s Links Struggles Are Cause for Concern

Credit:

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Tommy Fleetwood

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Tommy Fleetwood’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $9,400 DraftKings, $10,900 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): N/A, MC, MC, MC, T-27

Odds: +2200 to win, +160 top-10 finish, -110 top-20 finish, -400 to make cut, +275 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +275 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 7:31 a.m. ET (Thursday); 2:30 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

After great performances at the Masters, Players and U.S. Open this year, it seemed like Fleetwood would be almost an auto-bet at the next big event. However, he’s now coming off two subpar results on the Euro Tour in weaker fields, and he has poor history specifically at British Opens. He’s the rare European player who excels on U.S. tracks rather than links-style Euro events, as he’s one of the best drivers of the golf ball in the world. It’s hard to justify a bet given his inflated odds at this point, and the same goes for DFS since he’ll be quite popular in tournaments.


The Metrics

Here’s how Fleetwood ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: 18th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-38th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 12th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 5th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 41st
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-123rd

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

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