The 2026 World Cup continues on Friday with USA against Paraguay in Group D at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California at 9 p.m. ET on FOX. Kalshi traders currently price USA at 50%, the draw at 29%, and Paraguay at 23% which is one of the tighter soccer markets on the platform. Sign up with Kalshi referral code ACTION and get a $10 bonus after a cumulative $10 in trades. Kalshi is the best prediction market app for World Cup group-stage trading, available in most US states with a $1 minimum deposit.
Claim your $10 bonus with Kalshi referral code ACTION here:
What is the Kalshi Referral Code ACTION?
The Kalshi referral code ACTION gives new users a $10 bonus after a cumulative $10 in trades. Multiple smaller trades count toward the threshold. The bonus expires 30 days from issuance and cannot be withdrawn. The Kalshi promo code ACTION is the same code under a different name and both terms work interchangeably at sign-up.
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market app. Contracts are priced between $0.01 and $1 reflecting implied probability. USA at $0.50 implies a 50% chance to win and not draw. If correct, each share pays $1. You can also sell mid-match if prices move in your favor. For World Cup group-stage matches where draws are always possible, Kalshi's three-way market is more precise than others — making it an excellent option for soccer trading available in the US right now.
Kalshi Referral Code ACTION Offer Details
| Kalshi Referral Code | ACTION |
| Kalshi Promo Code | ACTION |
| Offer | Trade $10, Get $10 Bonus |
| Requirement | Cumulative $10 in trades |
| Minimum Deposit | $1 |
| Bonus Expiry | 30 days, non-withdrawable |
| Not Available In | AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, and OH |
| Regulated By | CFTC |
| Age | 18+ |
| Date Verified | June 12, 2026 |
How to Use the Kalshi Referral Code ACTION
- Use this link to create your account at Kalshi.com or on the app.
- Enter ACTION, which works as a referral code and promo code.
- Complete identity verification with valid government-issued ID.
- Deposit at least $1 via debit card, ACH, Apple Pay, wire transfer, or USDC.
- Make a cumulative $10 in trades to unlock your $10 bonus.
Sign up with Kalshi referral code ACTION here:
USA vs. Paraguay — Kalshi World Cup Market (9 p.m. ET, FOX, SoFi Stadium, Inglewood)
This match matters for setting a tone as the host nation. The USA seeks to take control in 2026 World Cup Group D. While the USA is slightly favored to advance, Turkiye will be a tough competitor within the group. Paraguay isn't expected to win this matchup; however, a draw would significantly hurt the US and likely move them into second place in the group. While they would advance in second, it would be a big morale booster to win the group outright.
Current Kalshi three-way market for USA vs. Paraguay:
| Outcome | Probability | Price |
|---|---|---|
| USA Win | 50% | ~$0.50 |
| Draw | 29% | ~$0.29 |
| Paraguay Win | 23% | ~$0.23 |
A $10 trade on USA at $0.50 buys approximately 20 shares, which returns $10 in profit if they win. The same $10 on the draw at $0.29 buys 34 shares for a $24 profit. A $10 trade on Paraguay at $0.23 returns $33 in profit on an upset. If Paraguay goes down early and their probability collapses, you can exit the position and trade again before the final whistle.
Trade on USA vs. Paraguay with Kalshi referral code ACTION here:
Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, and OH.
