Braves vs Astros Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - April 17, 2024

ATL @ HOU

6:10 pm • BSSE

Atlanta Braves

19-8

5 - 4

Houston Astros

9-19

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.France			7.46	0-3
M.Fried			4.02	2-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 19-8	-1.5+114	o9.5-112	-134
Astros 9-19	+1.5-135	u9.5-107	+114

Wednesday 6:10 p.m.

April 17, 2024

Minute Maid ParkHouston

Featured Insight
Braves hitters have an OPS of .852 this season -- best in MLB. Astros RPs have allowed an OPS of .762 (306 PAs) this season -- sixth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Astros scored 2.3 runs per game while trailing last season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB (105 games). The Braves allowed 2.4 runs per game while leading last season -- tied for third highest in MLB (139 games).

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Braves vs. Astros: Back Acuña & Atlanta's Bats
John Feltman•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC
NRFI Model Predictions for Wednesday
Billy Ward•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

46% of fastball strikeouts for Yordan Alvarez are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 48% of Max Fried fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Jeremy Pena had a groundball rate of 55% last season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Opponents had a groundball rate of 58% against Max Fried last season -- second highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 79.3 MPH (20 batted balls) this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 88.9 -- 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an OBP of just .234 (406 PA's) versus the top of the order since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .323 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (31/226) against J.P. France on elevated fastballs since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- first Percentile.

ATL

HOU

ATL ML

HOU ML

ATL Spread

HOU Spread

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date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 17th	ATL	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 9.5	ATL -108
Apr 16th	ATL	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 10.5	ATL -101
Apr 14th	TEX	W 8-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	HOU -117
Apr 13th	TEX	W 9-2	-1.5 W	O 9	HOU -136
Apr 13th	TEX	L 8-12	-1.5 L	O 9	TEX -125

Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 5-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Astros' 13 last games at home

MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	11-17	6-7	5-10	8-14	3-2
Braves	13-14	6-9	7-5	13-14	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	8-18-2	4-8-1	4-10-1	7-13-2	1-4
Braves	10-14-3	6-8-1	4-6-2	10-14-3	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	9-19	4-9	5-10	7-15	2-3
Braves	19-8	11-4	8-4	19-8	N/A

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Cristian Javier (neck) has been scratched. Hunter Brown will start Sunday
Out
Jose Urquidy
P
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Sean Murphy
C
Murphy is out with oblique
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	96	5	2	3
RJ.Chavez, P	22	1	2	1
RP.Johnson, P	22	1	2	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	17	1.1	1	0
LA.Minter, P	5	0.2	0	0
RR.Iglesias, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-5	1	1	1
2M.Harris, CF	1-5	2	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-3	0	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-5	1	1	1
6O.Arcia, SS	2-4	0	0	2
7T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9L.Guillorme, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Duvall, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9D. Fletcher, 2B	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.France, P	90	5	4	2
RR.Montero, P	16	1	0	0
RB.Abreu, P	15	1	2	0
RR.Pressly, P	27	1	2	1
LJ.Hader, P	15	1	3	0
RS.Martinez, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2Y.Alvarez, LF	2-5	2	1	1
3A.Bregman, 3B	1-2	0	0	1
3J.Meyers, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4K.Tucker, RF	1-4	0	0	1
5Y.Diaz, DH	2-5	0	0	0
6J.Pena, SS	0-5	0	0	0
7M.Dubon, CF	1-4	1	1	1
8J.Abreu, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Singleton, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Singleton, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
9V.Caratini, C	0-4	0	0	0

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MatchupOverUnder
Braves 19-8	N/A	N/A
Astros 9-19	N/A	N/A

ATL @ HOU

Atlanta Braves

Houston Astros

Braves vs. Astros Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Braves

Astros

Braves vs. Astros: Back Acuña & Atlanta's Bats

NRFI Model Predictions for Wednesday

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday

Keys to the Game

Matchup Contrasts

Today's Starting Pitchers

Braves

Public

Astros

Bets%

Money%

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Astros Injuries

Lance McCullers

Cristian Javier

Jose Urquidy

Luis Garcia

Braves Injuries

Sean Murphy

Spencer Strider

Braves vs. Astros Team Totals