Brewers vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - March 30, 2024

Brewers at Mets

5:40 pm • MLB Network

Milwaukee Brewers

3-6

7 - 6

New York Mets

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
D.Hall			5.02	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 3-6	+1.5-198	o7.5-110	+110
Mets 0-0	-1.5+164	u7.5-110	-130

Saturday 5:40 p.m.

March 30, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

P.Alonso o2.5 RBI+900

0.25u

C.Yelich o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-120

0.42u

P.Alonso o0.5 Singles+140

1.4u

P.Alonso o1.5 Singles+375

0.5u

D.Hall o4.5 Ks-104

Under 4 (F5)-110

1.1u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-142

0.75u

POD

NYM -124

L.Severino u15.5 Outs-135

0.74u

We’ll see if he gets into the 6th inning - he’s been awesome in spring training but even in his last outing only threw 30 pitches. Averaged 15.1 last year but only exceeded the 5.1 innings in 44% of games. He averaged 86.2 pitches last year with the Yankees, when he had thrown fewer than 90 this hit rate drops to 23% to the over

MIL +105

3.15u

Under 8-115

0.58u

Bet to -118 or 7.5 (+100)

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the BrewersRPs since the 2022 season -- seventh best in MLB. Mets hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 39% since the 2022 season -- tied for ninth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
MetsRPs have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB. Brewers Right Handed Hitters have struck out 26% against LHP since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB.

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The Mets are just 11-110 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.

30% of Brandon Nimmo strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 86th Percentile. 37% of Hoby Milner strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Luis Severino had an ERA of 6.65 (89.1 IP)in the 2023 season -- 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.28 -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 35-46 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21
Brewers	88-74	40-41	48-33	43-53	44-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25
Brewers	77-80-5	38-40-3	39-40-2	50-44-2	27-35-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28
Brewers	97-65	52-29	45-36	59-37	37-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 29th	MIL	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	MIL -115
Mar 25th	@NYY	L 0-3	-	-	-
Mar 24th	WSH	W 10-1	-	-	-
Mar 24th	@MIA	L 1-5	-	-	-
Mar 23rd	HOU	L 5-13	+1.5 L	O 9.5	HOU +149

Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Crow
SP
Crow is out with elbow
Out

Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Hall, P	73	4	1	2
RE.Peguero, P	26	2	0	0
RT.Megill, P	19	1	3	0
RB.Wilson, P	8	0.1	0	2
LH.Milner, P	4	0.2	0	1
RA.Uribe, P	18	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Frelick, CF	1-5	1	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	3-5	1	0	0
3C.Yelich, LF	2-5	1	0	1
4W.Adames, SS	2-5	2	0	1
5J.Bauers, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
6R.Hoskins, DH	3-4	2	1	4
7O.Dunn, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Ortiz, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Turang, 2B	2-5	0	0	0
9J.Chourio, RF	2-5	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	88	5	6	6
LJ.Diekman, P	12	1	1	0
RY.Ramirez, P	7	0.1	1	0
RJ.Lopez, P	10	0.2	1	0
RA.Ottavino, P	24	1	2	1
RE.Diaz, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	0	0	0
2F.Lindor, SS	1-5	0	0	0
3P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
4T.Taylor, RF	0-3	0	0	0
4D.Stewart, PH	0-2	0	0	0
4D.Stewart, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5S.Marte, DH	1-3	2	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7F.Alvarez, C	3-4	2	1	2
8Z.Short, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8B.Baty, PH	1-1	1	1	3
8B.Baty, 3B	1-1	1	1	3
9H.Bader, CF	1-4	0	0	0