Cubs vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - April 16, 2025

#BQ

2.51% ev

FanDuel starting pitcher combined alt strikeouts - Boyd/Pivetta 11+ K’s

🔑 Cubs ML -102 (DraftKings) 2.5u The cubs are legit. This line screams Cubs to me too. The Padres have the better record and better pitcher going but the line is essentially a pick em. I think the books trying to trap you into hammering SD. Sharp money heavy on CHC too. Let’s cook em!

Two shutdown starters, one quiet scoreboard coming – Boyd (1.59 ERA), Pivetta (1.59 ERA), both elite with WHIPs under 1.20. Boyd blanked SD earlier this month. Pivetta tossed 7 shutout, 10 Ks last start. Both lineups fade vs L/R splits. Expect slow pace, low runs. SD bullpen's been lights out – 1.26 ERA, 0.89 WHIP. CHC ‘pen trending up too: 3.27 ERA last 3. Petco's a pitcher’s park, wind neutral. Ump Nick Mahrley leans Under – just 6.0 total runs/game across his last 3 plates. All signs point quiet through 9. Under is 13-6 in last 19 Cubs/Padres meetings. Cubs 4-2 to Under last 6. Both starters faced same lineups this month – both games finished 2-1. San Diego averaging just 4.97 runs at home. Pitching edge way too strong to ignore here.

2.58% ev