Mariners vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2024

Mariners at Twins

11:40 pm • BSN

Seattle Mariners

3-3

1 - 3

Minnesota Twins

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Woods Richardson			4.18	5-5
L.Castillo			3.64	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 3-3	-1.5+132	o8-106	-127
Twins 1-3	+1.5-157	u8-113	+108

Monday 11:40 p.m.

May 06, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

SEA -125

1.25u

J.Rodriguez o0.5 RBI+160

0.25u

SEA -138 (F5)

Fuck Biev

S.Woods Richardson u5.5 Ks-160

1.6u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

0.8u

Under 8-125

0.8u

MIN +104

1.04u

MIN +110

1.65u

L.Castillo o6.5 Ks-120

0.83u

L.Castillo o17.5 Outs-145

1.14u

MIN +110

0.55u

Castillo has been great, while SWR has faced weak opponents, but the Twins have been superior in every other aspect. MIN 109/102/127 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, SEA 102/95/92. SEA also 29.2 K% v RHP. MIN second best pen estimators L30 days, more than 2/3 of a run better than SEA.

Under 8-125

Featured Insight
Mariners RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season -- tied for highest in MLB. Twins have struck out 26% since last season -- tied for highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Twins RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season -- tied for highest in MLB. Mariners have struck out 26% since last season -- tied for highest in MLB.

TRY FOR FREE

Mariners vs. Twins: Back the Better Pitcher
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May 6, 2024 UTC
Koerner's MLB Starting Pitchers Breakdown for Monday
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The Twins are 21-60 (.259) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.

Carlos Santana has an OPS of just .711 since the 2022 season -- 12th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Andres Munoz has allowed an OPS of just .565 (513 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 10th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Kyle Farmer is slugging just .213 this season -- 13th worst among hitters with at least 48 total PA's-- third Percentile. Luis Castillo has allowed a SLG of just .247 vs right-handed batters this season -- seventh best among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .438 (7 GB hits out of 16 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .240 -- first Percentile.

Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .867 (13 Total Bases / 15 ABs) on low fastballs this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .407 -- fifth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-3 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 2-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Twins' last 4 games

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	2-2	N/A	2-2	N/A	2-2
Mariners	3-3	3-3	N/A	2-2	1-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	1-3	N/A	1-3	N/A	1-3
Mariners	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-1	0-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	1-3	N/A	1-3	N/A	1-3
Mariners	3-3	3-3	N/A	2-2	1-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 5th	BOS	L 2-9	-1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS -190
May 4th	BOS	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	MIN -180
May 4th	BOS	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIN -123
May 1st	@CWS	W 10-5	-1.5 W	O 9	MIN -225
Apr 30th	@CWS	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN -180

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

J.P. Crawford
SS
Crawford is out with shoulder
Out
Miles Mastrobuoni
3B
Mastrobuoni is out with calf
Out
Bryce Miller
SP
Miller is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P		98	6.2	7	2
RT.Thornton, P		20	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Rojas, 3B	0-4	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-4	1	0
4M.Haniger, RF	1-4	0	0
5C.Raleigh, C	0-2	0	0
6T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0
7M.Garver, DH	1-2	0	1
8L.Raley, LF	0-3	0	0
9D.Moore, SS	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Woods Richardson, P	82	6	8	0
RG.Jax, P	31	1	2	1
RJ.Duran, P	12	1	2	0
LC.Thielbar, P	13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	0-4	0	0
2T.Larnach, DH	0-4	0	0
3A.Kirilloff, LF	0-3	0	0
3K.Farmer, 3B	0-1	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	1-3	1	0
5C.Correa, SS	2-4	1	1
6W.Castro, 3B	0-3	1	0
6W.Castro, CF	0-3	1	0
7C.Santana, 1B	0-1	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	0-2	0	1
9M.Margot, CF	1-3	0	1
9M.Margot, LF	1-3	0	1