Red Sox vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2024

Red Sox at Twins

12:10 am • NESN

Boston Red Sox

1-3

2 - 5

Minnesota Twins

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Paddack			4.99	5-3
T.Houck			3.12	9-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-3	-1.5	-1.5+170	o7.5-108	+103
Twins 1-3	u8	+1.5-205	u7.5-112	-123

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

May 04, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

BOS -115 (F5)

0.5u

BOS -114 (F5)

0.57u

Under 8-107

0.5u

Under 8+101

$20.20

MIN -121

T.Houck o5.5 Ks-125

$1.25

BOS +105

$3.00

BOS -125 (F5)

$1.25

BOS -118 (F5)

0.59u

T.Houck o5.5 Ks-125

0.63u

BOS -104

BOS -115 (F5)

1.15u

MIN -109

1.5u

DO I HEAR 11 STRAIGHT?

Under 8.5-115

0.5u

Bet to 8 (-105)

BOS -105 (F5)

0.53u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
The Red Sox have scored in at least three different innings in 58% of their games this season -- fifth highest in MLB. Twins have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 53% of their games this season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Twins RPs have a strikeout rate of 28% vs right-handed batters this season -- tied for second highest in MLB. Red Sox right-handed hitters have struck out 32% against LHP this season -- highest in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 20-32 (.385) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Twins are 21-60 (.259) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.

Carlos Santana is batting just .177 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Tanner Houck has thrown his slider 40% of the time since last season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 76 total SL-- 95th Percentile.

Ryan Jeffers is batting .357 on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 12th best among hitters with at least 43 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. Tanner Houck has thrown his slider 43% of the time this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-3 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 2-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Twins' last 4 games

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	2-2	N/A	2-2	N/A	2-2
Red Sox	1-4	N/A	1-4	1-3	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	1-3	N/A	1-3	N/A	1-3
Red Sox	3-2	N/A	3-2	2-2	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	1-3	N/A	1-3	N/A	1-3
Red Sox	1-4	N/A	1-4	1-3	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	@CWS	W 10-5	-1.5 W	O 9	MIN -225
Apr 30th	@CWS	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN -180
Apr 29th	@CWS	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIN -164
Apr 28th	@LAA	W 11-5	-1.5 W	O 7.5	MIN -110
Apr 28th	@LAA	W 16-5	-1.5 W	O 9	MIN -107

Tanner Houck
P
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
IF
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
IF
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

Pablo Lopez
P
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
P
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
P
Adams is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P		99	6	5	4
RN.Uwasawa, P		43	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-4	1	0
2R.Devers, 3B	2-3	0	2
3T.O'Neill, LF	0-4	0	0
4W.Abreu, RF	0-4	0	0
5G.Cooper, 1B	0-4	0	0
6D.Smith, DH	0-4	0	0
7V.Grissom, 2B	0-3	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-2	1	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Paddack, P	83	6	6	0
RG.Jax, P	11	1	3	0
RC.Sands, P	12	0.2	1	2
LC.Thielbar, P	7	0.1	1	0
RJ.Duran, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Kirilloff, LF	0-4	1	0
1M.Margot, LF	0-0	0	0
2E.Julien, 2B	1-2	0	2
3R.Jeffers, C	1-4	0	2
4M.Kepler, RF	1-3	0	0
5C.Correa, SS	1-4	0	0
6T.Larnach, DH	1-3	0	0
6A.Martin, PR	0-1	1	0
6A.Martin, DH	0-1	1	0
7C.Santana, 1B	1-4	0	0
8W.Castro, CF	2-3	2	0
9J.Miranda, 3B	0-3	1	0
9K.Farmer, 3B	0-0	0	0