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Marlins vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2025

Marlins at Phillies

5:35 pm • NBCS-PH

Miami Marlins

15-23
7
7 - 5

Philadelphia Phillies

23-16
5
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Jesus Luzardo logoJ.LuzardoPhiladelphia Phillies logo2.113-0
Connor Gillispie logoC.GillispieMiami Marlins logo8.650-3

Marlins at Phillies Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins
15-23
+1.5
+1.5+123
o8-104
+260
Phillies
23-16
u8.5
-1.5-148
u8-118
-325
location pinSunday 5:35 p.m.
April 20, 2025
Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia
Marlins vs. Phillies Expert Picks
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 184-172-2 (+78.8u)
Under 7.5 (Live)-105
2u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 123-160-0 (-31.3u)
B.Stott o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-135
0.74u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 77-67-1 (+1.4u)
PHI -1.5-134
1.34u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 184-172-2 (+78.8u)
Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-107
0.93u
#BQ
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 92-84-4 (+6.7u)
PHI -1.5-128
1u
I’m a real sick fuck when you get to know me
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 78-93-6 (-22.9u)
Under 8.5-110
1u
Citizens Bank Park might look like an Over park, but Luzardo’s on the bump for Philly—2.31 ERA, .219 xBA, .280 xwOBA. Marlins do hit LHP well (.277 AVG, 4.87 R/9), but Luzardo’s swing-and-miss stuff (9.9 K/9) + low WHIP makes runs tough to stack early. Gillispie’s 6.63 ERA jumps off the page, but Philly’s weaker vs RHP (.236 AVG, 4.61 R/9). Marlins’ bullpen backing him strong—2.85 ERA, 1.32 WHIP from arms likely used tonight. If Gillispie limits long balls + strands runners, he can survive 5+ innings. Both teams face their weaker split, one ace on the mound, and weather not boosting offense = value on Under.
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 84-97-0 (-42.1u)
Under 8-109
3u
The Degenerate
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 119-161-3 (+4.2u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-105
0.5u
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 141-113-15 (+10.2u)
Under 9-129
1.29u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 108-132-7 (-26.0u)
Under 8.5-110
1u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 121-85-4 (+63.9u)
Under 8.5-110
1u
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Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 160-177-14 (-8.8u)
Under 8.5-105
0.53u
Bet to 8 (-102)

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Marlins vs. Phillies Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Marlins

Public

Home Logo

Phillies

6%

Bets%

94%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Phillies are 10-10 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Phillies' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Phillies' 19 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies		20-1910-910-1015-165-3
Marlins		19-1911-118-82-316-16

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Phillies		18-20-111-87-12-115-15-13-5
Marlins		25-1313-912-43-222-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies		23-1613-610-1019-124-4
Marlins		15-2310-125-114-111-21

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 19thMIAW 11-10-1.5 LO 10.5PHI -225
Apr 18thMIAW 7-2-1.5 WO 8PHI -240
Apr 17thSFW 6-4-1.5 WO 8PHI -205
Apr 16thSFL 4-11-1.5 LO 8SF -152
Apr 15thSFW 6-4-1.5 WO 8PHI -165

Marlins vs. Phillies Injury Updates

Marlins Injuries

  • Braxton Garrett
    SP

    Garrett is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Ryan Weathers
    SP

    Weathers is out with arm

    Out

  • Eury Perez
    SP

    Perez is out with elbow

    Out

Phillies Injuries

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    Marlins vs. Phillies Box Score
    Marlins Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Connor Gillispie logoRC.Gillispie, P91534
    Cade Gibson logoLC.Gibson, P342.120
    Anthony Bender logoRA.Bender, P220.211
    Calvin Faucher logoRC.Faucher, P21100
    Jesus Tinoco logoRJ.Tinoco, P11100
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Xavier Edwards logo1X.Edwards, SS0-5000
    Eric Wagaman logo2E.Wagaman, 1B1-5000
    Connor Norby logo3C.Norby, 3B3-5200
    Otto Lopez logo4O.Lopez, 2B1-5100
    Dane Myers logo5D.Myers, CF2-5200
    Kyle Stowers logo6K.Stowers, RF2-4001
    Javier Sanoja logo7J.Sanoja, LF3-4215
    Matt Mervis logo8M.Mervis, DH1-4000
    Rob Brantly logo9R.Brantly, C0-2000
    Liam Hicks logo9L.Hicks, C0-2000
    Phillies Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Jesus Luzardo logoLJ.Luzardo, P88771
    Orion Kerkering logoRO.Kerkering, P24113
    Jose Alvarado logoLJ.Alvarado, P8110
    Matt Strahm logoLM.Strahm, P16101
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Bryson Stott logo1B.Stott, 2B1-5100
    Trea Turner logo2T.Turner, SS2-3100
    Bryce Harper logo3B.Harper, 1B2-5102
    Kyle Schwarber logo4K.Schwarber, DH0-4000
    Nick Castellanos logo5N.Castellanos, RF1-4101
    Max Kepler logo6M.Kepler, LF0-4000
    Alec Bohm logo7A.Bohm, 3B1-5100
    Johan Rojas logo8J.Rojas, CF1-3000
    Cal Stevenson logo8C.Stevenson, PH1-2001
    Cal Stevenson logo8C.Stevenson, CF1-2001
    Rafael Marchan logo9R.Marchan, C1-4001

    Marlins vs. Phillies Odds Comparison

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    Marlins at Phillies Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Marlins
    15-23
    o2.5-122
    u2.5-105
    Phillies
    23-16
    o4.5-135
    u4.5+105