Orioles vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2026

Orioles at Yankees

11:05 pm • YES

Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Schlittler			1.51	4-1
S.Baz			4.50	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 15-19	+1.5	+1.5-105	o8.5-105	+196
Yankees 23-11	u8.5	-1.5-115	u8.5-115	-240

Monday 11:05 p.m.

May 04, 2026

Yankee StadiumBronx

69°Fahrenheit

0%Rain

8Wind

T.Grisham o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

1.2u

C.Schlittler u17.5 Outs+132

0.38u

C.Schlittler u17.5 Outs+132

There may be some value on Cam Schlittler's pitching outs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 15.57 pitching outs, and oddsmakers are implying 17.80. The model believes there is a 64% chance he records fewer than 18 pitching outs. If you can get the under at +132 or better there is great value here. This play is good down to at least -140. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

NYY -200

Bet to -225

NYY -190

1.14u

#EV 2.41%

NYY -200 (F5)

(B3) Can’t remember ever playing a favorite this large (and would probably play to -225), but Schlittler is just so good (2.53 SIERA/2.39 xERA), far better than Baz (4.26/4.11), while the Yankees have a 58 point Home/Road wRC+ edge vs the O’s, 17 points vs RHP, proj. LU 19 pts vs RHP since LY and proj. LU 12 FRV edge this year.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 11-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Yankees' 16 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	20-14	9-7	11-7	18-14	2-0
Orioles	14-20	8-10	6-10	10-11	4-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	15-17-2	9-6-1	6-11-1	14-16-2	1-1
Orioles	23-11	12-6	11-5	13-8	10-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	23-11	11-5	12-6	21-11	2-0
Orioles	15-19	9-9	6-10	12-9	3-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	BAL	W 11-3	-1.5 W	O 9	NYY -297
May 2nd	BAL	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYY -170
May 1st	BAL	W 7-2	-1.5 W	U 9	NYY -185
Apr 29th	@TEX	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX -116
Apr 29th	@TEX	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYY -120

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Jackson Holliday
2B
Holliday is out with hand
Out

Carlos Rodon
SP
Rodon is out with elbow
Out
Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out with elbow
Out
Clarke Schmidt
SP
Schmidt is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Volpe
SS
Volpe is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RS.Baz, P		1-2	4.50	1.500	7.68

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1G.Henderson, SS	.209	.275	.460	9
2T.Ward, LF	.288	.423	.416	1
3A.Rutschman, C	.296	.342	.549	4
4P.Alonso, 1B	.214	.322	.421	6
5S.Basallo, DH	.244	.320	.444	5
6D.Beavers, RF	.217	.298	.325	2
7L.Taveras, CF	.278	.388	.431	2
8C.Mayo, 3B	.165	.234	.306	3
9J.Jackson, 2B	.259	.277	.454	6

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RC.Schlittler, P		4-1	1.51	0.744	10.58

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1T.Grisham, CF	.162	.297	.352	5
2B.Rice, 1B	.343	.455	.759	12
3A.Judge, RF	.264	.403	.628	13
4C.Bellinger, LF	.275	.373	.483	5
5J.Chisholm, 2B	.212	.299	.331	3
6J.Dominguez, DH	.278	.316	.556	1
7A.Wells, C	.203	.333	.329	3
8R.McMahon, 3B	.200	.289	.300	2
9J.Caballero, SS	.259	.306	.405	4