Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - May 28, 2024

Red Sox at Orioles

10:35 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

1-2

8 - 3

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Rodriguez			3.86	13-4
B.Bello			4.49	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-2	+1.5-142	o8-118	+150
Orioles 0-0	-1.5+120	u8-102	-179

Tuesday 10:35 p.m.

May 28, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Under 8.5-125

$25.00

Over 8-110

0.5u

Bet to -115

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-105

BAL -160 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -165

Featured Insight
Red Sox have a strikeout rate of 26% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Orioles right-handed hitters have struck out 30% against LHP over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Orioles have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- third lowest in MLB (142 games). The Red Sox have scored just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB (129 games).

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The Red Sox are just 46-63 (.422) after a loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.

Gunnar Henderson is slugging .513 since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Brayan Bello has allowed a SLG of .513 vs left-handed batters since last season -- fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

65% of Rafael Devers fastball strikeouts are elevated this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 72% of Grayson Rodriguez fastball strikeouts are elevated this season -- tied for sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (136/226) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	78-84	37-44	41-40	25-41	51-42
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	65-92-5	34-44-3	31-48-2	31-32-3	32-59-2
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	75-87	39-42	36-45	32-34	40-53
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 27th	BOS	W 11-3	-1.5 W	O 9	BAL -159
May 26th	@CWS	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 7	BAL -166
May 25th	@CWS	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8	BAL -170
May 24th	@CWS	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	BAL -250
May 23rd	@CWS	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 8	BAL -230

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	90	5	7	3
LB.Bernardino, P	31	2	4	0
RJ.Slaten, P	18	1	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	1	0	1
2W.Abreu, RF	1-4	1	1	1
2R.Gonzalez, PH	0-0	0	0	1
2R.Gonzalez, RF	0-0	0	0	1
3R.Refsnyder, DH	2-4	2	1	2
4R.Devers, 3B	4-5	1	0	2
5C.Wong, C	1-4	0	0	1
6D.Smith, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7V.Grissom, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, SS	1-4	1	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-3	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	90	6	10	4
LC.Perez, P	11	1	0	1
RY.Cano, P	13	1	0	0
LK.Akin, P	29	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-5	1	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0
3R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-4	1	0
4C.Cowser, LF	1-5	1	1
4C.Cowser, CF	1-5	1	1
5A.Santander, RF	1-3	0	0
6J.Westburg, 3B	2-3	0	2
7K.Stowers, DH	1-2	0	0
7R.Mountcastle, PH	0-1	0	0
7R.Mountcastle, DH	0-1	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	0-2	0	0
8A.Hays, PH	0-2	0	0
8A.Hays, LF	0-2	0	0
9J.Mateo, 2B	0-4	0	0