Reds vs Red Sox Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - May 30, 2023

Reds at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Cincinnati Reds

40-47

9 - 8

Boston Red Sox

38-48

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			4.24	12-11
B.Lively			5.38	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 40-47	N/A	N/A	N/A
Red Sox 38-48	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

May 30, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

B.Bello u17.5 Outs-120

0.83u

T.Casas o0.5 HR+475

0.25u

Tailing the HR sharp

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases-117

0.85u

BOS o2.5 (F5)-150

Over 9.5-106

A little tricky because Lively has been much better than projections in a 2 start sample, though Bello has estimators mostly confirming his 4.08 ERA. BOS 123 wRC+ Hm & 103 v RHP, CIN just 88 v RHP, but 146 team wRC+ L7 days - both defenses near the bottom of the league (-11 Runs Prevented combined) - both pens have bottom 1/3 of league estimators L30 days - Of course, one of the most positive run environments in MLB.

BOS -1.5+105

0.95u

Under 5.5 (F5)-122

0.82u

CIN +166

0.83u

Bet to +147

57% Strikeout Model's Pick
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The Reds are 11-2 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 20-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Red Sox' 44 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	37-49	17-27	20-22	21-33	15-16
Reds	46-41	20-22	26-19	14-11	32-29

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	38-44-4	17-24-3	21-20-1	24-27-3	14-16-1
Reds	50-36-1	24-18	26-18-1	16-9	34-26-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	38-48	17-27	21-21	23-31	14-17
Reds	40-47	19-23	21-24	15-10	25-36

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 28th	@ARI	L 2-4	-	-	-
May 27th	@ARI	W 2-1	-	-	-
May 27th	@ARI	W 7-2	-	-	-
May 25th	@LAA	L 3-7	-	-	-
May 24th	@LAA	L 0-4	-	-	-

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	87	5.2	6	0
LA.Young, P	4	0.1	0	0
RF.Cruz, P	17	1	1	3
RB.Farmer, P	12	1	0	0
RE.Salazar, P	26	0.1	0	5
RA.Diaz, P	12	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-3	0	0	1
1J.Barrero, CF	2-2	1	1	4
2M.McLain, SS	1-6	0	0	0
3J.India, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
4J.Fraley, DH	1-4	0	0	1
5T.Stephenson, C	1-3	1	0	0
6S.Steer, 1B	2-4	1	0	1
7K.Newman, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
8W.Benson, LF	3-5	3	0	0
9S.Fairchild, RF	1-4	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	97	4	4	1
RJ.Garza, P	41	1.2	2	1
LJ.Rodriguez, P	36	0.2	1	5
LR. Sherriff, P	31	2.2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R. Tapia, RF	3-5	2	2
2R.Devers, 3B	2-5	1	2
3J.Turner, DH	1-5	1	1
4M.Yoshida, LF	3-4	0	1
4P.Reyes, PR	0-0	0	0
5J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	1
6T.Casas, 1B	0-5	0	0
7E.Hernandez, SS	1-3	0	0
8E.Valdez, 2B	1-3	2	0
9R.McGuire, C	2-4	2	1