Friday Sharp Report: Pros Getting Down on Two Big Dogs, One Over


Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

May 11, 2018, 05:21 PM EDT

With the NBA Playoffs on a hiatus and only one Friday night Stanley Cup Playoff game, the sports betting world will be laser-focused on MLB tonight. Wiseguy baseball bettors wouldn’t have it any other way.

After analyzing Friday’s 15-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professional players are focusing on, including games that start at 7:07, 8:10 and 10:10 p.m. ET.

All data as of 3:15 p.m. ET


Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays (+161)

7:07 p.m. ET

Give the public an ace and they’ll take him every time. Despite being a massive -175 road favorite, 75% of bets are taking Chris Sale (3-1, 2.02 ERA) and the Red Sox. However, sharps see a buy-low opportunity with home divisional dog Toronto. Only 25% of bets are on the Jays, yet they’ve fallen more than 20 cents (+183 to +161). Why would the Toronto payout plummet if the vast majority of bets are on Boston? Because sharps hammered Toronto across the market, creating liability. Wiseguys at Pinnacle steamed Jays late last night and sharps at Buckeye hit Toronto this morning, triggering reverse line movement in their favor.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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