Wednesday Sharp Report: Professionals Hitting Three Totals, One Favorite


Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports

May 09, 2018, 02:30 PM EDT

Wiseguys had a profitable Tuesday, cashing two of their three total plays: BOS-NYY Under 8.5 and NYM-CIN Under 9.5. Sharps are always extra cautious with totals. They know that to overcome standard -110 juice, they must win 52.4% or more of their plays. As a result, all data must be on the same page: percentages, line movement, bet signals, wind, umps and historical trends.

After analyzing Wednesday’s 14-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed four MLB bets that professional players are focusing on, including games that start at 7:05, 7:07, 7:10 and 10:10 p.m. ET.

All data as of 2:30 p.m. ET

Boston Red Sox–New York Yankees Under 8.5

7:05 p.m. ET

Pro Players hit their Sox-Yanks Under last night and are going back to the well tonight. Nearly 60% of bets are on the Over, but a whopping 90% of dollars are on the Under. This massive bets vs. dollars discrepancy indicates heavy smart money on the Under. The Sox changed pitchers (David Price to Rick Porcello), and the books reopened the total at 8.5. Despite the public going Over, Pinnacle are juicing up the 8.5u to -116 and -120, respectively, which indicates Under liability. Wiseguys at Pinnacle hammered the Under 8.5, triggering market-wide steam and reverse line movement. A cherry on top for sharp Under backers: Cory Blaser is behind the plate. He’s been a profitable “Under” ump since 2005 (+14.97 units).

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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