Friday MLB Player Props: Can Corey Kluber Strike Out 6 Astros?
Peter G. Aiken/USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Corey Kluber.
- Using the FantasyLabs Player Prop model, we've found value on tonight's strikeout over/under for Corey Kluber.
When Rick Porcello had struck out four batters through three innings, I thought we were headed towards Green Dot City. We don’t have win probability in the app for prop bets, but I reckon our over 5.5 strikeout bets were in the 80-90% range of cashing.
Then, Porcello decided to strike out just one more batter in the next three innings. He had six other hitters in those three innings down to two strikes, but he decided to rip my heart out instead.
Can my heart heal itself tonight or will it be shattered once again? Let’s look to the “Klubot” to find out.
MLB Player Props – Friday, April 26
Our FantasyLabs MLB Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 1 p.m. ET. View live odds for individual games here.
Indians SP Corey Kluber
The Pick: Under 5.5 (-114)
There have been six pitchers with strikeout over/unders of 5 or higher vs. the Astros this year and just one of them has gone over the total. That guy happened to be Charlie Morton, the former Astros pitcher who knows all of their hitters’ deepest darkest secrets. Practically cheating.
Trevor Bauer had an over/under of 6.5 yesterday, and although limited the Astros to one run in eight innings, he struck out just three batters. Bauer had a K/9 of 11.34 last year and 11.57 this year before the ‘Stros dropped it below 10.
Kluber, obviously a dominant pitcher in his own right, struck out just 9.29 batters per nine last year and is a hair above 10 this year. He’s an elite pitcher, but not quite elite when it comes to striking guys out. A rung below elite, I’d say.
The juice on this actually opened up at nearly +120 at one book, but I waited to see where the rest of the market opened their lines at…silly me. I didn’t bet it either because I want you readers to have a whack at the lines, too.
There must have been a max bet on the under during that time because the line, which had been quite still for about a half hour, soared 40 cents to -115 in one blink of an eye, leaving me gritting my teeth and growling in anger.
Nevertheless, I still like the prop. If you can find an under 6, definitely grab that, but I have not seen one at the time of publication.