- Tuesday's most popular plays went 2-1, giving the public more than a half-unit in profit.
- Today they're back to their normal strategy, taking three relatively heavy favorites in the Yankees, Cubs, and Braves.
Public bettors had another solid day Tuesday, as the three most popular bets went 2-1, winning a bit over half a unit.
After playing a couple of totals last night, they’re back to their usual strategy and backing three favorites on Wednesday night.
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Yankees (-269) vs. Orioles
1:05 p.m. ET
Of the teams in afternoon action today, the Yankees are the most popular. They’ve received 78% of bets and 74% of dollars, and their line has dropped only as a result of sportsbooks lowering the vig from the opening line.
Why the public loves New York: At this point, when a good team plays the Orioles, the price bettors have to pay is really not going to matter. The O’s are now 42 games back in the AL East, and with Manny Machado out the door, their lineup is even less intimidating than it already was. Oh, and Alex Cobb has been horrendous this season, posting an ERA over 6 entering this game.
Cubs (-124) at Pirates
7:05 p.m. ET
The Cubbies have received 75% of bets, making them Wednesday’s third-most popular team. They’ve also drawn 84% of dollars, and have moved from -121 to -124.
Why the public loves Chicago: Cole Hamels is making his debut for the Cubs tonight, which will draw some public bettors based on intrigue alone. Chicago also dropped the series opener last night, which, to the public, makes it seem more likely that the Cubs will win tonight.
Braves (-171) vs. Marlins
7:35 p.m. ET
With 83% of bettors behind Atlanta, the Braves are the most popular bet on the board to this point. They’ve also landed 93% of dollars, but — aside from juice reduction — their line hasn’t moved since opening.
Why the public loves Atlanta: The Braves are right in the thick of the NL playoff race. They’re a half-game out of first place in the East, and in a three-way tie for the second wild-card spot. Clearly they’ve got something to play for — as their deadline moves indicate. The Marlins, on the other hand, not so much. The public will happily fade the second-worst team in the National League against a team in the hunt.