World Series Game 7 Betting System: Value on the Total for Nationals vs. Astros?

World Series Game 7 Betting System: Value on the Total for Nationals vs. Astros? article feature image
Credit:

Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Washington Nationals starting pitcher Max Scherzer

  • Tonight's Nationals vs. Astros World Series Game 7 will get underway at 8:08 p.m. ET (FOX) at Minute Maid Park in Houston.
  • Using our MLB Pro Systems, we examine the smart way to bet the over/under in Wednesday's game.

Lost in the fervor of Game 6’s “carrying bats” and interference controversies is  the fact that fans and bettors have been awarded a winner-take-all World Series matchup.

In tonight’s Nationals vs. Astros Game 7, Houston is a -133 favorite with Zack Greinke taking the hill against Washington’s Max Scherezer.

Early money is taking the plus-money with the Nationals, but it hasn’t been significant enough to force a market adjustment.

Bettors are also flocking to the over, as 84% of tickets have played that side of the World Series Game 7 total, and that one-sided action is already pushing this number (7.5) toward 8.


Odds as of Wednesday at 10 a.m. ET. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).


However, our Action PRO MLB Systems are lighting up a historically profitable betting angle for the Nationals vs. Astros over/under that includes a 55.1% win rate and a 7.8% return on investment (ROI) over a sample of more than 2,500 games (!) since the start of the 2005 season.

Let’s look at what our Action PRO Systems say about tonight’s Nationals vs. Astros Game 7.

Nationals vs. Astros Game 7 Betting System Pick

As mentioned above, this total sits at the opener of 7.5 and could soon hit 8 considering the majority of early bets are forecasting a higher-scoring game.

That’s not all that unexpected as a Game 7 will attract plenty of support from casual bettors, even those who don’t typically play baseball.

Public bettors overwhelmingly favor overs because it’s more fun to root for home runs than strikeouts, and that’s exactly what we’re seeing tonight.

But does that mean we should follow the masses? Or take a contrarian strategy and play the under?

According to our Contrarian Under for Winning Teams PRO MLB System, bettors should be looking toward the under for tonight’s matchup.


When two winning teams face off (defined by winning percentages of more than 50%) and the majority of bettors are playing the over (defined by at least 65% of bets), the under becomes a profitable play.


PRO Systems are data-driven betting strategies that turn winning long-term trends into easy-to-follow picks, all handpicked and monitored by our team of analysts. Try Action PRO now and instantly access real-time game matches for every PRO System.


Since both teams are obviously winning teams, and the flood of money from recreational bettors is landing on the over, the data indicates that tonight’s Nationals vs. Astros under is the smart way to play the total.

[In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]