The New York Yankees host the Miami Marlins on April 5, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MIAM.
The Yankees are favored by -275 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Marlins are +225 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Marlins vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Marlins vs Yankees Prediction
- Marlins vs Yankees Pick: Under 8.5
My Marlins vs Yankees best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Yankees Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +105 | 8.5 100o / -122u | +225 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -126 | 8.5 100o / -122u | -275 |
- Marlins vs Yankees spread: Yankees -1.5 (-126), Marlins +1.5 (+105)
- Marlins vs Yankees over/under: 8.5 (+100o / -122u)
- Marlins vs Yankees moneyline: Marlins +225, Yankees -275
Marlins vs Yankees Preview
This game triggered one of our Action PRO Betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
In matchups between winning teams, sportsbooks often inflate totals based on perceived offensive capability, yet these teams also tend to have stronger pitching and tighter late-game execution — creating a profitable edge on the under.
Marlins vs Yankees Picks
We're always willing to take an Under with Max Fried on the mound. The guy is a robot. He's started 2026 with 13 scoreless innings in two road matchups (Mariners, Giants).
The Marlins boast an exciting young lineup, but it's also a lefty-heavy lineup, featuring five southpaws. We'll see how that goes against Fried, who posted a 3.06 xFIP against same-side batters last season (compared to 3.51 against righties).
We don't have much confidence in Chris Paddack shutting down the Yankees.
But these are two solid bullpens, both ranking in the top six among MLB relief staffs in xFIP so far this season.
Pick: Under 8.5
