Tigers vs Red Sox Odds, Picks, Predictions for Thursday, April 6
Maddie Malhotra/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images. Pictured: Chris Sale
- The Detroit Tigers host the Boston Red Sox on Thursday afternoon in the home opener for Detroit.
- Chris Sale starts for Boston, while Spencer Turnbull is set to take the mound for Detroit.
- Continue reading for a full breakdown of this matchup, including how to bet it.
Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds
|Red Sox Odds|
-110 / -110
-110 / -110
The Red Sox will hit the road for the first time this season and are in need of a change of scenery. Boston finished its first homestand on a downswing as the Red Sox were swept by the Pittsburgh Pirates.
However, things have been going a bit better for their opposition as the Detroit Tigers come into their home opener off a series split against the defending World Series champions, the Houston Astros.
These teams appear to be trending in opposite directions, but the sample sizes are very small. However, this may be the best opportunity to buy the visiting team.
Let’s dive in and uncover the best bet for Red Sox vs Tigers.
In their opening series against the Orioles, the Red Sox offense looked potent as it put up nine runs in each game. There were also many encouraging signs as Masataka Yoshida made an immediate impact and Adam Duvall went 7-for-10.
However, they were then held to two runs over the final two games against the Pirates. So, which version of the Boston lineup will we see in this series opener?
We are much more likely to see the Red Sox rebound as they get to face Spencer Turnbull. Turnbull’s first start of 2023 was his first since 2021, and it didn’t go well, to say the least.
Turnbull was battered by the Tampa Bay Rays. He allowed seven runs on eight hits and didn’t make it out of the third inning.
He likely to struggle against Boston’s lineup, which has proven it can make loud contact. I’m expecting the lefties to make a big impact as Turnbull hasn’t proven he can locate his secondary stuff well enough to get outs.
On the other side, we can’t heap praise on Chris Sale for his first performance either. Sale was a victim of the long ball against the Orioles as he surrendered seven runs on seven hits, three of which were homers.
However, he has an excellent matchup and should bounce back nicely. Only three hitters in the Tigers lineup have an xBA above .260.
Much of that has to do with their tendency to swing and miss. This was a big issue for the Tigers last season and it hasn’t changed through the first two series of this season.
Detroit is third in baseball in strikeout rate, and while the sample size is small, it’s also telling.
When the Orioles made contact against Sale, it was hard. But they also swung and missed quite a bit as he had an 80% whiff rate on his slider in that outing.
If Sale can focus on strike one, we could see him rack up the strikeouts against the free-swinging Tigers.
Red Sox vs. Tigers Betting Pick
Spencer Torkelson may have sparked the Tigers’ offense against the Astros, but this is a bad matchup because Sale proved he still has swing-and-miss stuff.
Additionally, the Red Sox offense should get back on track. Turnbull didn’t show any signs of being able to get big-league hitters out and was punished by lefties. Don’t be surprised if Rafael Devers does immediate damage in this one.
The juice is worth the squeeze here. Back the Red Sox to win the first game of this series.
Pick: Red Sox Moneyline
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