NBA Odds & Picks: Our Staff’s Best Bets for Hawks vs. Jazz, Trail Blazers vs. Clippers (November 9)
Sam Forencic/Getty Images. Pictured: CJ McCollum
- Three NBA games, two NBA best bets.
- After analyzing Tuesday's NBA odds, our analysts identify their favorite picks two of tonight's games.
- Find out why they like the Jazz to cover a home against the Hawks, plus prop in the Trail Blazers vs. Clippers late game.
Tonight’s three-game slate brings us two matchups on TNT: Bucks vs. 76ers (7:30 p.m. ET) and Trail Blazers vs. Clippers (10 p.m. ET). The Hawks also play the Jazz at 9 p.m. ET on NBA League pass in another exciting game.
Two of our NBA analysts are all over the later matchups, and you can read their analysis and see their favorite Tuesday night bets below.
NBA Odds & Picks
Atlanta Hawks vs. Utah Jazz
Brandon Anderson: Sometimes you just have to keep things simple.
The Utah Jazz are a regular season juggernaut. They’ve literally won more than half of their games over the last two seasons by double digits. The Jazz are elite on defense with Rudy Gobert in the middle. They’re an elite shooting team that knocks down a ton of 3s. They’re deep. They’re versatile. They’re really good.
The Hawks have been a bit disappointing so far, and this is a tough spot on the schedule the night after Atlanta really gave their all in Golden State before getting smoked by a 50-burger from Steph Curry. Now it’s the second night of a back-to-back in the elevation against maybe the league’s best team? Yikes.
This season and last, when the Jazz are favored by 5-to-9.5 points, they’re a dominant 24-10 ATS, covering 71% of the time by 4.7 points a game. When they’re favored by that much at home, the trend is even stronger at 13-3 ATS. Add in the rough schedule spot for Atlanta, and this is a no brainer.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Joe Dellera: The Blazers are already playing their third game of the season against the Clippers, and we are not even 25% done with the season. In the two prior matchups, the Clippers allowed the Blazers to take 42.3% of their shots from 3-point range, and they converted on 34.8% of those opportunities.
CJ McCollum only hit one 3-pointer last game and two 3s in his most recent game against the Clippers on October 29, but aside from those two games, McCollum has gone over 2.5 3s in eight of ten games this season (80%). If we extend this back to last season, he has crossed this threshold in 42/63 games (67% hit rate). The critical point with McCollum is his volume – this season, he has never taken fewer than seven 3-point attempts in a game and shoots 40.6% from beyond the arc.
With a line of -150 there is an implied probability of 60%. He’s gone over 2.5 in one of two games against the Clippers, and with his shooting splits, McCollum should hit three 3s tonight.