Tennessee vs Florida State Odds & Pick: Can Seminoles Keep It Close?

Tennessee vs Florida State Odds & Pick: Can Seminoles Keep It Close? article feature image

Isaiah Vazquez/Getty Images. Pictured: Florida State’s Marco Dinges.

Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida State Seminoles Odds

Wednesday, June 19
2 p.m. ET
Tennessee Odds
-115o / -115u
Florida State Odds
-115o / -115u
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.

Let's take a look at the Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Seminoles odds and make a pick for their College World Series rematch on Wednesday, June 19.

My original College World Series preview stated that Tennessee and Florida State would be the Bracket 1 final. Both teams have lived up to that expectation.

The Seminoles lost a heartbreaker to the Volunteers in the opener, giving up a five-run lead in what was one of the most chaotic conclusions to a college baseball game all season.

Now, Florida State has fought its way back and is looking to take two straight from the Volunteers to reach the championship series.

TIE GAME! TIE GAME! TIE GAME!#MCWS x 🎥 ESPN / @Vol_Baseballpic.twitter.com/Dnrc4lk2eW

— NCAA Baseball (@NCAABaseball) June 15, 2024

Zander Sechrist is the third starter in the rotation for Tennessee but has been the most crucial player on the roster over the past month.

The southpaw was on the mound when the Volunteers clinched a spot in the SEC Championship, won the Knoxville Regional and shut down Evansville to solidify a trip to Omaha.

A day of rest also keeps the bullpen fresh, as Nate Snead and Kirby Connell have yet to eclipse 30 pitches in an outing.

Florida State head coach Link Jarrett ended Tuesday night without an answer when asked who would take the mound against Tennessee.

Jamie Arnold started in Friday's opener, throwing 98 pitches over five innings. The last player to start not named Arnold or Carson Dorsey is Conner Whittaker, but the junior allowed two earned runs and faced only five batters in Tuesday's victory over North Carolina.

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Tennessee vs Florida State

Betting Picks & Prediction

There's a 65-cent difference in the projections when it comes to the two FSU pitchers who would face Sechrist. Arnold would project as a -135 favorite, while Whittaker would be an underdog at +130.

Seminoles closer Brennen Oxford was not used in the win over the Tar Heels, and he's expected to be used in the tightest spots against Tennessee.

The total also has a large swing depending on the starter, with Whittaker projecting at 13.3 and Arnold coming in at 12.2.

Wednesday's wind projections vary. At times, it could blow out to right field at 10 mph, or it could be a cross-directional wind from left to right field.

Florida State and Tennessee have the two best offenses remaining and combined for 25 runs in the opener. The Vols' opening number is steep, as Arnold may be held back with Dorsey for a potential Bracket 1 championship game on Thursday.

Pick: Florida State +1.5 or Better

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