Providence vs. Kentucky Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2023
Providence at Kentucky
11:13 pm • CBSProvidence at Kentucky Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Providence 12-20 | +4.5-110 | o142.5-110 | +165 | |
 Kentucky 22-11 | -4.5-110 | u142.5-110 | -200 | |
First Horizon ColiseumGreensboro
Providence vs. Kentucky Expert Picks
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 62-65-2 (-11.4u)
UK -4.5-110
1u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 133.5 (Live)-110
1.1u
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 20-30-1 (-2.4u)
Under 143.5-120
0.83u
Resorts World
Matthew Vincenzi
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
UK -4.5-110
1u
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
B.Hopkins o14.5 Pts-135
1.35u
The juice sucks, but it’s a great spot for Hopkins, even without the “revenge” narrative. Averaged 16.1 ppg (16.7 ppg in conference) and gets a UK team that isn’t too threatening defensively. Over in 7/L9.
Nico Terpak
Last 30d: 8-18-0 (-10.9u)
UK -4-110
$100.00
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 52-57-2 (-14.3u)
UK -4.5-105
2u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 23-71-0 (-19.2u)
N.Locke u11.5 Pts-105
1u
DK/BetMGM: Locke has been extremely consistent this year with his playing time and usage. Even the most generous splits I can give him I get exactly 11.5 as his projection, but in reality the projection we have is 9.6 points. That's in no small part to kentucky's solid defense overall, lowering Providence's team totaly by at least 10% from any relevant split we can use. In addition, Kentucky is in the top third nationally in fewest percentage of points allowed via the 3-ball, and Locke scores nearly 60% of his points from downtown. This can definitely lose if he's hot from 3.
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 77-78-3 (-3.2u)
UK -4.5-107
0.93u
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 78-123-3 (-19.2u)
PROV +4.5-110
1u
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 21-69-0 (-2.5u)
UK -4-110
0.91u
Feels like overreaction to recent Kentucky struggles. They're really a better version of Prov and should easily negate their reb advantage. Calipari 18-8-1 ATS as a seed favorite but not a 10+ pt favorite.
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Toppin u0.5 3pt M+158
1.58u
Projection - 0.6: For more, check out BettingPros.
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 55-46-0 (+3.9u)
PROV +4.5-111
1.11u
Big Bets On Campus (CBB)
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PROV +4.5-110
1u
#kymckeon @threemanweave
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 94-106-0 (-18.5u)
UK -4.5-110
1u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 23-71-0 (-19.2u)
PROV +158
0.25u
Chad Millman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PROV +3.5-110
1u
Providence vs. Kentucky Previews & Analysis
Providence vs. Kentucky Notes
Bracket Predictions
Providence is the public's second favorite No. 11 seed upset pick, showing up in 30% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.
Tournament Trends
Since 2002, No. 6 seeds like Kentucky are 44-36 against No. 11 seeds like Providence in the First Round (55.0% win rate, breakeven moneyline -122).
No. 11 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 44-35-1 ATS (55.6% cover rate, average spread +3.4).
The No. 6 vs. No. 11 matchup has gone under the full game total 57.5% of the time (46-34, average over/under line 136.1).
No. 6 Kentucky has played in 17 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 42-16 straight up and 30-25-3 against the spread in 58 total games.
No. 11 Providence has played in seven of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 3-7 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in 10 total games.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Providence vs. Kentucky Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Kentucky are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Kentucky are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Kentucky are 6-7 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Kentucky' 20 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17-16 | 11-9 | 6-7 | 10-12 | 7-4 |
| 14-18 | 8-12 | 6-6 | 3-9 | 11-9 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19-14 | 12-8 | 7-6 | 12-10 | 7-4 |
| 16-15-1 | 10-9-1 | 6-6 | 5-6-1 | 11-9 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22-11 | N/A | N/A | 16-6 | 6-5 |
| 12-20 | N/A | N/A | 8-4 | 4-16 |
Last 5 Matchups
Kentucky vs. Providence Injury Updates
Kentucky Injuries
- Jaxson RobinsonG
Robinson is out with wrist
Out
- Jayden QuaintanceF
Quaintance is out with ankle
Out
Providence Injuries
- Jabri Abdur-RahimG
Abdur-Rahim is out for season with knee
Out for Season
- Corey FloydG
Floyd is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
- Jaylin SellersG
Sellers is questionable with back
Questionable
- Wesley CardetG
Cardet is questionable with knee
Questionable
Team Stats
21-58 (36%)
Field Goals
23-63 (37%)
6-11 (55%)
Free Throws
10-13 (77%)
5-24 (21%)
3P
5-16 (31%)
27
Rebounds
46
12
Assists
10
9
Turnovers
10
5
Steals
6
1
Blocks
4
16
Fouls
12
Providence vs. Kentucky Odds Comparison
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Providence at Kentucky Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Providence 12-20 | N/A | N/A |
Kentucky 22-11 | N/A | N/A |