The Memphis Tigers take on the UAB Blazers in Birmingham, Alabama, on Thursday, Feb. 5. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
UAB is favored by -2.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -150. Memphis, meanwhile, enters as a +2.5 underdog and is +125 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 153.5 total points.
Let's take a look at our Memphis vs. UAB prediction and college basketball picks for Thursday, February 5.
Memphis vs UAB Prediction
Pick: UAB -2.5
Our Memphis vs UAB best bet is on the Blazers to cover the spread. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Memphis vs UAB Odds
| Memphis Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -110 | 153.5 -110o / -110u | +125 |
| UAB Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -110 | 153.5 -110o / -110u | -150 |
- Memphis vs UAB spread: UAB -2.5, Memphis +2.5
- Memphis vs UAB over/under: 153.5 Points
- Memphis vs UAB moneyline: Memphis +125, UAB -150
Memphis vs UAB College Basketball Betting Preview
Thursday's Memphis vs. UAB game in the American Conference fits a historically betting system from our Bet Labs database.
The “Good Team, Conference, Small Favorite, Both Teams Bad ATS” system identifies undervalued favorites in college basketball that win consistently but have struggled against the spread, facing opponents with similar ATS struggles.
In conference play, where matchups are familiar and motivation runs high, the better overall team often prevails despite market skepticism caused by prior ATS losses.
When a strong team sits as a small favorite, it suggests the line has tightened due to mutual ATS underperformance rather than true competitive balance.
This system capitalizes on that overcorrection, backing reliable programs that win outright at a steady rate when the market perception has dipped too far, turning short favorites into profitable plays.
This system boasts a 2025-26 record of 77-64-1, good for a solid 55% win rate and an ROI of 4%. The all-time record, meanwhile, features a winning percentage of 53% with an ROI of 2%.
Memphis vs UAB Pick, Betting Analysis
Our projection for this game comes in at UAB -1.83. While there isn't much value there from a projection perspective, there are reasons UAB can win and cover here.
Memphis' offense has had some struggles this season, ranking 216th nationally in KenPom's adjusted offensive efficiency ratings.
The Tigers are shooting just 32% from 3 (269th) and 49.5% from 2 (258th).
Meanwhile, the Blazers rank 131st nationally in KenPom's adjusted defensive efficiency metrics, forcing opponents to shoot 33.4% from 3 (155th) and 50% from 2 (114th).
While Memphis boasts a top-40 defense nationally and UAB struggles from deep, the Blazers should be able to do enough inside the arc to win and cover the short number at home.
Pick: UAB -2.5
