Arkansas St vs. Southern Miss Odds & Betting Predictions - October 17, 2026
Arkansas St at Southern Miss
11:00 pm • ESPN+Arkansas St at Southern Miss Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Arkansas St 2-4 | -7 | -7-108 | o62.5-110 | -270 |
Southern Miss 1-4 | u56.5 | +7-115 | u62.5-110 | +215 |

M.M. Roberts StadiumHattiesburg
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Arkansas St vs. Southern Miss Expert Picks
BBOC: 6th Gear
Last 30d: 16-24-0 (-7.1u)
Over 61.5-112
1u
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 39-49-0 (+10.2u)
Over 61.5-108
2.16u
Both offenses are coming alive in conference play. Southern Miss exceed 500 total yards against Troy, while pushing the tempo in a blowout loss. The Golden Eagles are now 5th in seconds between plays under Blake Anderson.
The USM defense is horrific, plain and simple. 134th in total D, 122nd on 3rd downs, bottom 20 in explosives allowed. Their calling card is a medicore red zone defense. But Arkansas State is solid in the red zone, they just went 7-for-8 on red zone opportunities against South Alabama with seven TDs.
Oh the Arkansas State defense, also dog shit. Their issue is simple, they can’t create negative plays. 123rd in TFLs, 122nd in pases defended, and the only thing keeping them above water at times is turnovers. 9 turnovers created in six games. If they don’t get turnovers, it gets super ugly, like it did agaisnt South Alabama where they allowed 56 points at home.
Perfect fall weather on tap for Saturday night in Hattiesburg. This can be a showcase game for Trey Owens. The former 4-star QB signee is coming off a 5-TD game and he’s facing this lifeless USM defense. Arkansas state could go for 50.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Arkansas St vs. Southern Miss Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Southern Miss are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Southern Miss are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Southern Miss are 1-2 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Southern Miss' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Southern Miss' 2 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-3 | |
| 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 2-2 | |
| 3-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | N/A | N/A | 1-0 | 0-4 | |
| 2-4 | N/A | N/A | 2-1 | 0-3 |
Last 5 Matchups
Team Stats
1461
YDS
1357
121/176
Comps/Atts
110/180
8.3
YPA
7.54
9/6
TDs/INTs
9/7
9/58
Sacks/Yards
11/63
19/22 86.4%
Redzone
13/19 68.4%
33/65 0%
3rd Down
20/62 0%
2/6 0%
4th Down
4/10 0%
/
Penalties/Yards
/
Arkansas St vs. Southern Miss Odds Comparison
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Arkansas St at Southern Miss Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Arkansas St 2-4 | N/A | N/A |
Southern Miss 1-4 | N/A | N/A |


