Arkansas St vs. Southern Miss Odds & Betting Predictions - October 17, 2026

Arkansas St at Southern Miss

11:00 pm • ESPN+
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Arkansas St at Southern Miss Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Arkansas St
2-4
-7
-7-108
o62.5-110
-270
Southern Miss
1-4
u56.5
+7-115
u62.5-110
+215
location pinSaturday 11:00 p.m.
October 17, 2026
M.M. Roberts StadiumHattiesburg
thermometer image65°Fahrenheit
rain image0%Rain
wind image10Wind
Arkansas St vs. Southern Miss Expert Picks
BBOC: 6th Gear
BBOC: 6th Gear
Last 30d: 16-24-0 (-7.1u)
Over 61.5-112
1u
Mike Calabrese
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 39-49-0 (+10.2u)
Over 61.5-108
2.16u
Both offenses are coming alive in conference play. Southern Miss exceed 500 total yards against Troy, while pushing the tempo in a blowout loss. The Golden Eagles are now 5th in seconds between plays under Blake Anderson.  The USM defense is horrific, plain and simple. 134th in total D, 122nd on 3rd downs, bottom 20 in explosives allowed. Their calling card is a medicore red zone defense. But Arkansas State is solid in the red zone, they just went 7-for-8 on red zone opportunities against South Alabama with seven TDs.  Oh the Arkansas State defense, also dog shit. Their issue is simple, they can’t create negative plays. 123rd in TFLs, 122nd in pases defended, and the only thing keeping them above water at times is turnovers. 9 turnovers created in six games. If they don’t get turnovers, it gets super ugly, like it did agaisnt South Alabama where they allowed 56 points at home.  Perfect fall weather on tap for Saturday night in Hattiesburg. This can be a showcase game for Trey Owens. The former 4-star QB signee is coming off a 5-TD game and he’s facing this lifeless USM defense. Arkansas state could go for 50. 

Prop Odds Comparison

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Arkansas St vs. Southern Miss Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Arkansas St

Public

26%

Bets%

74%

Money%

NCAAF Public Betting Right Arrow

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Southern Miss
2-31-11-21-01-3
Arkansas St
2-41-21-21-21-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Southern Miss
3-22-01-21-02-2
Arkansas St
3-32-11-22-11-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Southern Miss
1-4N/AN/A1-00-4
Arkansas St
2-4N/AN/A2-10-3

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Oct 7th@TROYL 34-55+9.5 LO 51.5TROY +310
Sep 26th@TULNL 21-24+18 WU 52.5TULN +680
Sep 19thUCONNL 20-48+3.5 LO 54.5UCONN +140
Sep 12th@AUBL 8-43+32.5 LU 56.5AUB +2500
Sep 5thALCSTW 49-3-19.5 WO 51.5USM -1600
Team Stats
1461
YDS
1357
121/176
Comps/Atts
110/180
8.3
YPA
7.54
9/6
TDs/INTs
9/7
9/58
Sacks/Yards
11/63
797
Rush Yards
721
180
Attempts
170
4.43
YPC
4.24
11
TDs
9
Fumbles Lost
6
Interceptions
7
19/22 86.4%
Redzone
13/19 68.4%
33/65 0%
3rd Down
20/62 0%
2/6 0%
4th Down
4/10 0%
123
Total
111
69
Pass
57
44
Rush
39
10
Penalty
15
/
Penalties/Yards
/

Arkansas St vs. Southern Miss Odds Comparison

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Arkansas St at Southern Miss Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Arkansas St
2-4
N/A
N/A
Southern Miss
1-4
N/A
N/A