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College Football Moneyline Underdog Picks: Week 11 Bets for Kentucky vs Florida, Wisconsin vs Washington

College Football Moneyline Underdog Picks: Week 11 Bets for Kentucky vs Florida, Wisconsin vs Washington article feature image
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Imagn Images. Pictured: Wisconsin RB Dilin Jones (left) and Kentucky QB Cutter Boley (right).

College football Week 11 is here. That means it's time to find some value on a couple of underdogs for Saturday's slate.

For the eighth straight season on our college football betting podcast, Big Bets on Campus, Collin Wilson and Stuckey pick their two favorite moneyline underdogs for each week's slate.

For Week 1 of the season, they're rolling with an underdog in the SEC and a first-half play in the Big Ten.

If you're feeling lucky, a parlay of both pups pays out north of 7-1 at the time of writing.

Let's dive into our college football moneyline underdogs for Week 11.

  • 2018-24: 85-129, +15.91 Units
  • 2025: 6-14, -5.7 Units
  • Overall: 91-143, +10.21 Units

College Football Moneyline Underdog Picks for Week 11

Collin Wilson: Wisconsin 1H ML +240 vs. Arizona

Washington Logo
Saturday, Nov. 8
4:30 p.m. ET
Big Ten Network
Wisconsin Logo
Washington Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-11
-110
44.5
-110o / -110u
-425
Wisconsin Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+11
-110
44.5
-110o / -110u
+325
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
bet365 Logo

I’m taking Wisconsin on the first-half moneyline at +240 here.

I don't know what's happening to Washington on the road.

Against Michigan, it scored seven points total from one touchdown in the second quarter. Against Maryland, it didn’t even put up points in the first half and needed a 21-point fourth quarter to pull off a 24-20 win.

Looking back to November 2024 against Penn State, no touchdowns at all — just two field goals. Then last year, on the road against Indiana, Iowa and Rutgers, it managed just 16, 17 and 18 points, respectively.

Over a two-year stretch, Washington just can’t seem to get it going away from home.

And now the Huskies are heading to Madison to face a Wisconsin team that actually held Oregon in check defensively and has shown some significant life on that side of the ball.

Washington always takes its sweet time to wake up on the road, and Wisconsin’s defense is one that could really make it struggle in this one.

I'll take the Badgers on the moneyline in the first two quarters.


Stuckey: Kentucky +135 vs. Florida

Florida Logo
Saturday, Nov. 8
7:30 p.m. ET
SEC Network
Kentucky Logo
Florida Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-3
-115
44.5
-110o / -110u
-160
Kentucky Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+3
-105
44.5
-110o / -110u
+135
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
bet365 Logo

I’m not sure if Florida even shows up here.

After that Georgia game, the Gators won't have much left in the tank. Plus, they have some tough matchups still left aganst Tennessee, Ole Miss and Florida State.

But now, they’re heading to Lexington with basically nothing on the line. Kentucky, meanwhile, is riding a pretty solid wave of confidence, especially in this rivalry.

Florida doesn’t have that interim coach boost anymore either, which matters.

More importantly, who exactly is DJ Lagway throwing to? Eugene Wilson, who was the offense’s go-to guy, is out. Dallas Wilson is out. Aidan Mizell and Vernell Brown III might miss this one.

So, what’s left? Are they going to throw it up to J. Michael Sturdivant 50 times?

On top of that, Florida can’t get pressure on the quarterback at all. Kentucky quarterback Cutter Boley is going to feel pretty comfortable back there.

Then, think about Kentucky’s offense. Florida’s defense tends to play a bit too high, leaving short passes and yards after catch wide open. That’s exactly the bread and butter of Kentucky’s attack.

Defensively, the Wildcats are stepping up, and that will be especially true with Florida’s depleted receiver corps. They’re solid against the run, so the Gators are stuck in a tough spot.

Cats win.

Playbook
Author Profile
About the Author

Stuckey is a senior betting analyst at Action Network, focusing on college football, college basketball, and the NFL. He hosts The Action Network Podcast and co-hosts the Big Bets on Campus podcast with Collin Wilson and Brett McMurphy. Stuckey was Action Network’s first content hire in 2017, helping launch their award-winning app, and continues to work closely with their development team. A CFA Charterholder, Stuckey has been betting since 2003 and has a background as a derivatives analyst in the financial industry. He holds an MBA from George Washington University.

Author Profile
About the Author

Collin is a senior writer for the Action Network, but serves in various roles behind the scenes as well. As someone who specializes in data visualization of probabilities, power ratings, and head-to-head matchups, Collin’s work within the college football space powers the Action Network’s PRO projections throughout the college football season, and has done so since the birth of the app in 2017. Collin contributes similarly to the college basketball vertical, and his passion for predictive analytics have led him to become a key force in finding betting edges in more niche markets such as professional wrestling and entertainment awards.

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