Week 7 of the college football season is upon us, which means it's time to find some value on a couple of underdogs.
For the eighth straight season on our college football betting podcast, Big Bets on Campus, Collin Wilson and Stuckey pick their two favorite moneyline underdogs for each week's slate.
For Week 7 of the season, they're rolling with two underdogs against teams from the state of Iowa.
If you're feeling lucky, a parlay of both pups pays out over 4-1 at the time of writing.
Let's dive into our college football moneyline underdogs for Week 7.
- 2018-24: 85-129, +15.91 Units
- 2025: 4-8, -2.2 Units
- Overall: 89-137, +13.71 Units
College Football Moneyline Underdog Picks
Collin Wilson: Colorado ML +120 vs. Iowa State
| Iowa State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -110 | 52 -110o / -110u | -140 |
| Colorado Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -110 | 52 -110o / -110u | +120 |
I’m taking Colorado here.
With the point spread sitting around 2.5 or 3, Colorado would be favored on a neutral field. But it's an underdog at home, so something smells a bit off.
And I think that’s because Stuckey and I have been yelling regression on Iowa State all season long.
Cincinnati finally put a spotlight on just how bad Iowa State’s defense really is. The Cyclones can't generate a pass rush and lost two starting cornerbacks for the season.
Meanwhile, Colorado lost to BYU by three points but actually had a 71% win expectancy after the game. That's kind of the reverse situation from what we’re seeing with Iowa State.
When you dive into the numbers, Iowa State is sliding hard. It's 125th in PFF Tackling and 126th in creating a pass rush. The Cyclones can’t stop the run either.
On the flip side, Colorado quarterback Kaidon Salter should have free rein to pick apart that defense.
With Iowa State trending downward and Colorado showing signs of improvement, I’m all in on the Buffs as home underdogs.
Stuckey: Wisconsin ML +140 vs. Iowa
| Iowa Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -110 | 36.5 -110o / -110u | -165 |
| Wisconsin Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -110 | 36.5 -110o / -110u | +140 |
I had sworn off Wisconsin, but I’m taking the Badgers here.
The total sits just above 35, and a low total like that typically gives value to the underdog.
The Badgers have been doing 42 push-ups every single practice for six months straight. Why 42? Because last year, they gave up 42 points to Iowa, and that number has haunted them ever since.
They can’t stop talking about the game, throwing around quotes like “Who gives up 42 to Iowa?” You know they want revenge.
Defensively, their run defense has been solid. The pass defense has been bad, but do you trust Iowa to throw the ball, especially potentially with a backup quarterback?
There’s some uncertainty around center Jake Renfro. Plus, Preston Zachman, the safety, is hurt. Wisconsin’s not exactly at full strength.
But I still don't trust Iowa throw the ball much in a game that won't be a high-scoring affair.
Wisconsin’s a home dog, and with uncertainty surrounding the quarterback on both sides, I'll take the Badgers in what looks like it’ll be a pretty ugly game.
