College Football Odds, Picks for Colorado vs. Colorado State: Why It’s Time to Fade Coach Prime
RJ Sangosti/MediaNews Group/The Denver Post via Getty Images. Pictured: Colorado head coach Deion Sanders.
I hadn't bet either Colorado game so far this season, as I had no idea what to expect with this brand-new roster and coaching staff.
Well, after two data points against Power 5 schools, I feel much more comfortable pricing the Buffaloes, who have obviously exceeded almost everyone's expectations — except for Deion's.
I'm going to trust my numbers and take a stance that we have reached inflation in the market with everyone's favorite cover machine over the past two weeks.
While Shedeur Sanders has filled up the stat sheet with two electrifying performances, there are still obvious holes on this roster, primarily along the offensive line and across the defense.
It's also a great spot for Colorado State.
After an early-season bye, the Rams have had two weeks to rest and prepare for this rivalry after stewing over an embarrassing opening-season loss at the hands of Washington State — which, by the way, exceeded market expectations again last week against Wisconsin.
That extra time is also critical since head coach Jay Norvell named a new starting quarterback in Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi, who had some success moving the ball in the opener.
I expected Colorado State to be one of the most improved teams in the country in the second year under Norvell, who took Nevada from three to eight wins in his second season in Reno. While the first game certainly didn't inspire much confidence, it was only one game against a much more talented opponent.
Meanwhile, Colorado has two impressive wins on paper — but I'm lower than the market on TCU, and Nebraska literally fumbled any chance of competing away.
Lastly, don't forget Colorado has heard praise all week after another hyped marquee win with Oregon and USC on deck, so it wouldn't shock me if they come out a bit sloppy with a major look-ahead spot here.
A couple of books are holding a +24, and I'd play the Rams down to +23.
With the past 10 matchups in this series taking place in Denver, this will mark the first meeting on campus since 2009. All three on-campus clashes over the past 25 years have come in Boulder with the road Rams covering in each.