Texas vs. West Virginia Odds, Picks & Predictions: Bet Mountaineers to Score in Droves on Saturday Afternoon

Texas vs. West Virginia Odds, Picks & Predictions: Bet Mountaineers to Score in Droves on Saturday Afternoon article feature image
Credit:

Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured from left: West Virginia running back Leddie Brown (4) and quarterback Jarret Doege (2).

  • Updated odds for Texas vs. West Virginia make the Mountaineers 2.5-point favorites. The over/under has dropped from 58 points at open to 56.5 as of this update.
  • West Virginia opened as a 2.5-point underdog, but the point spread has swung drastically since then: The Mountaineers are now 2.5- to 3-point favorites across the betting market.
  • Below, find updated college football odds for Texas vs. West Virginia, including our full matchup analysis, betting guide, picks and predictions for Saturday's Big 12 matchup.

Texas vs. West Virginia Odds

Saturday, Nov. 20
12 p.m. ET
ESPN2
Texas Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
+2.5
-110
56.5
-105o / -115u
+110
West Virginia Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-2.5
-110
56.5
-105o / -115u
-130
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute college football odds here.

It’s a battle of 4-6 teams Saturday at noon in Morgantown between Texas and West Virginia. The Longhorns come into this game absolutely reeling, having lost five in a row including last week’s debacle against Kansas.

Everything went south for Texas following the collapse to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry. The Longhorns had complete control of that game, and after letting it slip away, they’ve never been able to get back on track.

Meanwhile, West Virginia enters this contest coming off two consecutive losses, and the Mountaineers must now win the final two games to become bowl eligible. It has been an extremely up-and-down season for the Mountaineers, as they have struggled to find consistency on both sides of the ball.


Texas Longhorns

Texas Without Two Key Players Saturday

When it rains it pours, and this is the case for Texas right now. Steve Sarkisian announced in his Monday press conference that star RB Bijan Robinson will be out for the rest of the season. Moreover, the Longhorns’ best corner, Josh Thompson, will also miss the remainder of the year, leaving a big hole in an already suspect secondary.

Robinson was by far the most dynamic playmaker on the Texas offense, and without him the Longhorns will turn to Roschon Johnson to handle most of the carries out of the backfield. Sark announced that Casey Thompson will get the start under center on Saturday, after playing both Thompson and Hudson Card last week.

Will Texas Get Off the Bus?

Motivation is another big concern for the Longhorns at this point in the season. With a five-game losing streak, a decimated roster, and tons of external noise around Austin, you have to wonder if Texas will show up for this one.

Sarkisian certainly did not expect his first year as the head man to play out like this, and his frustration continues to show in weekly press conferences.

Texas still has some pretty impressive offensive numbers across the board, and West Virginia’s secondary has really struggled against the pass. Look for Thompson to try to dial up a heavy dose of deep throws to Xavier Worthy.


West Virginia Mountaineers

Lack of Consistency Holding Mountaineers Back

No two-game stretch sums up the West Virginia season more than the Iowa State and Oklahoma State games on consecutive weeks. Against the Cyclones, WVU went for 370 yards of total offense in a 38-31 victory at home. The following week, the Mountaineers hosted the Cowboys and barely eclipsed the 100 yard mark in a 24-3 loss.

This has been a theme for most of the season for West Virginia. Turnovers have plagued the offensive efficiency levels., and a lack of pass rush on defense has burned the defense. To finish the year strong and make a bowl game, the Mountaineers will need to crank it up a notch on both sides of the ball.

Attacking Texas Through the Air

West Virginia QB Jarret Doege has had plenty of time to throw throughout the season. The West Virginia OL ranks #1 in the country in pass blocking, and has done a remarkable job of keeping pass rushers away from the quarterback.

Despite having all of this time, Doege has not gone a good job of taking care of the football. The fifth-year senior has thrown 10 interceptions in 2021, and has had three games where he’s tossed multiple picks.

Texas does not sack the quarterback, and the Longhorns come in at 104th in the country in defending the pass. If Doege can make the right decisions in the pocket, he should have ample opportunity to find open receivers down the field.


Texas vs. West Virginia Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Texas and West Virginia match up statistically:

Texas Offense vs. West Virginia Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 46 49
Line Yards 20 45
Pass Success 49 79
Pass Blocking** 105 100
Big Play 29 16
Havoc 52 57
Finishing Drives 22 27
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

West Virginia Offense vs. Texas Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 82 78
Line Yards 103 66
Pass Success 50 104
Pass Blocking** 1 119
Big Play 87 90
Havoc 97 106
Finishing Drives 45 116
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 78 91
Coverage 56 75
Middle 8 50 40
SP+ Special Teams 14 84
Plays per Minute 39 95
Rush Rate 56.9% (54) 48.7% (103)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.


Texas vs. West Virginia Betting Pick

West Virginia opened as a short favorite in this game, and has hovered right around -2.5 to -3 throughout the week. When I break down this game, it’s a bit difficult for me to play a side with all the uncertainty around the Texas program right now.

The one thing I do know is that Texas has all sorts of issues on the defensive end. Losing CB Josh Thompson will only magnify the problems in the secondary, and West Virginia has the wideouts to find some explosive plays in this game.

Neal Brown knows he needs to make a bowl game this season, and a win Saturday would make that likely with Kansas still to play in the final game. I expect the WVU offense to come out attacking and have plenty of opportunities to put the ball in the end zone.

Give me the West Virginia Team Total over at 28.5 in a game where I think the Mountaineers flirt with 40. Country Roads, Take Me Home.

Pick: West Virginia Team Total Over 28.5

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