Thursday New Mexico Bowl Betting Odds & Pick for Hawaii vs. Houston: Sharp Action, Weather Forecast Point To Value (Dec. 24)

Thursday New Mexico Bowl Betting Odds & Pick for Hawaii vs. Houston: Sharp Action, Weather Forecast Point To Value (Dec. 24) article feature image
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Darryl Oumi/Getty Images. Pictured: Miles Reed

  • Mother Nature is pointing to some betting value Thursday's New Mexico Bowl, and sharps seem to agree.
  • The Hawaii-Houston PRO Report:

Hawaii vs. Houston Odds

Hawaii Odds -10
Houston Odds +10
Over/Under 59.5
PRO Projection HOU -9.8 | O/U 57.3
Time 3:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

A fairly vacant Christmas Eve sports slate — no NBA or college hoops games are scheduled — is saved by a lone Hawaii vs. Houston matchup in an afternoon The New Mexico Bowl, which as you could probably guess, means this game is going to have no problem attracting bettors.

And apparently, sharps are among those attracted bettors.

Our PRO Report has shown sharp action hitting Thursday’s over/under, and the weather forecast suggests there’s good reason for the pro backing. Let’s take a look.

Note: Odds, data and forecast as of 9 p.m. ET Wednesday.

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Hawaii vs. Houston Pick

Professional bettors have taken a liking to the under, having caused a line move as a result, and a weather-based PRO System suggests Mother Nature might have an effect on the score as well.

Sharp Action

As is generally the case, most bettors have landed on the over in this matchup (people prefer to root for offense over defense). And while a 56 percent backing isn’t necessarily a substantial one, it’s significant when it comes on the side from which the line moves away.

Confirming sharps to be the reason for the move, 13 Sports Insights Bet Signals (that’s a lot) have been triggered on the under, each illustrating a betting market response to sharp action.

Sharp Action edge: Under

PRO Systems

As for why sharps might be attracted to this under, look no further than the forecast.

Winds of 14 to 19 mph are projected throughout the course of the game in Frisco (the game was relocated), which is plenty to fit our Windy Unders PRO Betting System.

Games played in winds of 13 mph or more have hit the under at a 57% rate on a sample of more than 1,000 games since 2005 (574-437-34).

PRO Systems edge: Under

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