LSU vs. Alabama Odds: Tide Favored By Under a Touchdown

LSU vs. Alabama Odds: Tide Favored By Under a Touchdown article feature image
Credit:

Butch Dill-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Alabama Crimson Tide wide receiver Henry Ruggs III (11) celebrates with tight end Miller Forristall (87)

  • The latest college odds have listed the Alabama Crimson Tide as 6-point favorites over the LSU Tigers for Saturday's game.
  • We break down those odds using historical trends as well as Collin Wilson's power ratings.

LSU vs. Alabama odds have been open for several weeks now, but with the game on Saturday, the entire betting market is starting to take shape.

The Tide are listed at -6.5 or -6 at pretty much every sportsbook after opening -7 on Sunday. Two weeks ago, they were -9.5 and in the summer, Alabama was -16.

The over/under sits at 64.5 and 65 at some books, up about a point from the Sunday openers.

The Action Network's college football power ratings, kept by Collin Wilson, make Alabama -7.5 at home against LSU. Without a healthy Tagovailoa, we believe Alabama would be a very small favorite, around -1 or a pick'em.

That's of course the biggest angle in this game — Tua's health. Bettors saw early value in the uncertainty and happily took the Tigers at +7 or higher.

From a betting perspective, Alabama holds the edge in this series with an 8-5-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record since 2005, including covering five of the past six matchups per our Bet Labs data.

Bama has also been favored in 11 of those 14 games, going 7-4 ATS when giving points, but just 1-1-1 ATS when an underdog.

On the other hand, the Tide are 3-3-1 ATS at home, and 5-2 ATS when playing in Baton Rouge.

Alabama has not been a home underdog since 2007 against LSU, and without Tagovailoa, the Tide could be again on Saturday.

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.