The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in Bowling Green, Ky. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. EST on ESPN+.
Western Kentucky is favored by 13.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -575. The total is set at 56 points.
Here’s my Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 15, 2025.
Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction
- Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky Pick: Under 56 (-110, bet365)
My Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee best bet is on the Under. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Odds
| Middle Tenn Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+13.5 -105 | 56 -110o / -110u | +425 |
| W. Kentucky Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-13.5 -115 | 56 -110o / -110u | -575 |
- Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky point spread: Western Kentucky -13.5 (-115), Middle Tennessee +13.5 (-105)
- Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky over/under: 56 (-110o / -110u).
- Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky moneyline: Middle Tennessee +425, W. Kentucky -575
Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Pick
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
Home Fave Unders is a college football system built around the idea that strong home favorites often play in ways that reduce overall scoring.
In the regular season, when the home team is favored by 2.5 to 19.5 points, these matchups frequently turn into controlled games where the favorite manages the pace and protects the lead rather than pushing for maximum points.
Weather conditions also support lower scoring, as humidity levels between 40% and 100% and wind speeds from 8 to 100 miles per hour make passing and kicking less efficient.
When public betting on the total leans heavily toward one side, especially the Over, lines can become inflated even though the actual game script favors a more conservative outcome.
This combination of home team control, weather impact, and public bias creates a consistent edge for the under.
Pick: Under 56 (-110, bet365)
