The Nevada Wolf Pack take on the Utah State Aggies in Logan, Utah. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. EST on CBS Sports Network.
Utah State is favored by 9 points on the spread with a moneyline of -340. The total is set at 53 points.
Here’s my Nevada vs. Utah State prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 8, 2025.
Nevada vs Utah State Prediction
- Nevada vs. Utah State Pick: Nevada +9
My Utah State vs. Nevada best bet is on the Wolf Pack. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Nevada vs Utah State Odds
| Nevada Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+9 -110 | 53 -110o / -110u | +270 |
| Utah State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-9 -110 | 53 -110o / -110u | -340 |
- Nevada vs Utah State point spread: Utah State -9 (-110 ), Nevada +9 (-110)
- Nevada vs Utah State over/under: 53 (-110o / -110u)
- Nevada vs Utah State moneyline: Nevada +270, Utah State -340
Nevada vs Utah State Preview
Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview
Nevada is not a strong team overall.
Nevada’s offense ranks 130th in Success Rate and 133rd in Finishing Drives, indicating it rarely sustains long scoring drives.
To counteract this, Nevada plays slow, ranking 106th in plays per minute. So while the Wolf Pack don't really move the ball or score, at least they take up time when they have the ball.
But the strongest argument for Nevada is actually its defense.
The Wolf Pack rank 103rd nationally in Success Rate allowed but eighth in Explosiveness allowed, meaning they force opponents to earn yards the hard way. They give up short gains, but they do not surrender backbreaking, 40-yard scoring plays.
Against an opponent like Utah State, which relies heavily on explosive plays rather than methodical drives, that matters.
Nevada wants the game slow, choppy, and possession-based. The Pack rank 37th nationally in average offensive starting field position and 27th in defensive field position, meaning games they play tend to stay compressed in the middle of the field.
They don’t win shootouts, but they do drag teams into low-scoring contests that may be best described as rock fights.
Utah State Aggies Betting Preview
Utah State is clearly the more talented side, particularly on offense.
The Aggies rank 15th nationally in Explosiveness and fourth in Finishing Drives, meaning when their offense clicks, it finishes. They also play fast (34th in tempo), creating more possessions and more volatility.
But volatility works both ways. Utah State ranks 76th nationally in Success Rate and 109th in Havoc allowed, meaning the Aggies frequently stall drives with sacks, penalties, and negative plays.
Against a defense like Nevada’s that forces teams to be patient, Utah State will face multiple possessions where it needs to string together six to eight successful plays in sequence — something they rarely do cleanly.
Defensively, Utah State is simply unreliable. The Aggies rank 118th or worse nationally in Success Rate allowed, Defensive Finishing Drives, and third-down defense.
This means opponents, including Nevada, will convert more drives into points than expected and extend possessions that should be over. Utah State’s defense does not close out stops. They allow teams to hang around.
Teams that let weaker opponents hang around do not reliably cover two-possession spreads.
Nevada vs Utah State Pick, Betting Analysis
Utah State wins with big plays and tempo, but Nevada’s biggest defensive strength is eliminating explosive plays.
Nevada cannot force turnovers or dominate the line, but it can make Utah State work, and Utah State is not a team that thrives when asked to play clean, disciplined football.
Meanwhile, Utah State’s defense is soft in the exact areas where Nevada’s offense can survive — staying on the field through modest gains and converting enough explosive moments to create scoring drives over time.
This points toward longer drives, more punts, more field goals, and a closer scoring margin.
The breakdown is essentially that, while Utah State is the better team, they are not two-score better, even at home.
Pick: Nevada +9
